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7:07 AM

AU - Gatton - Race 8

Thoroughbred
15 Runners
9.9f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
13.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Tough. LISSARO (14) has been racing in stronger and measure up his chances on his nose defeat at the Gold Coast two starts back. May have to do it the hard way again, but finds the right race. SECURITY ADVISOR (1) had no luck at Kilcoy last time but won there this grade prior as a firm favourite. Needs a good ride, but the 7lbs claim brings him right into it. BUDDY'S TALE (10) is another good enough on his day. Carries a feather with the 7lbs claim and should be around the mark. CHANGE THE DEEL (2) had to contend with a wide alley at his latest run and finished out of the placings over 1 ?m at Gold Coast. In the mix.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
14
Lissaro silk

Most recently 9th of 11 at Gold Coast 0 - 58 on November 22 over 1m, on a slow track, 5 len behind Deep Drive carrying 125lbs at $7. Before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 12 at Gold Coast 0 - 60 on November 8 over 1m, nose behind Grey Northern with 120lbs at $18. Best form stacks up nicely and deserves another chance.

1st Pick
14

Lissaro

Jockey: Micheal Hellyer

Trainer: Harold Norman

J: Micheal Hellyer

T: Harold Norman

79---19%9/2

Analysis

Most recently 9th of 11 at Gold Coast 0 - 58 on November 22 over 1m, on a slow track, 5 len behind Deep Drive carrying 125lbs at $7. Before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 12 at Gold Coast 0 - 60 on November 8 over 1m, nose behind Grey Northern with 120lbs at $18. Best form stacks up nicely and deserves another chance.

1
Security Advisor silk

Last start 4th of 7 at Kilcoy Bm62 on November 19 over 1 ³/16m, on a slow track, 9 len behind Captain Eagle with 125lbs at $4.40. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.9 len at Kilcoy Bm60 October 7 over 1 ³/16m defeating Our Orator with 121lbs at $2.50. Can atone.

2nd Pick
1

Security Advisor

Jockey: Bailie Baker

Trainer: James Hepworth

J: Bailie Baker

T: James Hepworth

108---23%7/2

Analysis

Last start 4th of 7 at Kilcoy Bm62 on November 19 over 1 ³/16m, on a slow track, 9 len behind Captain Eagle with 125lbs at $4.40. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.9 len at Kilcoy Bm60 October 7 over 1 ³/16m defeating Our Orator with 121lbs at $2.50. Can atone.

6
Another Dazzler silk

Last start 5th of 9 at Toowoomba Bm60 on November 22 over 1 5/16m, 4.5 len behind Bavarian Lady with 119lbs at $14. The start before that from last on the turn 4th of 7 at Sunshine Coast Cl2 on November 14 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Super Fair with 121lbs at $51. Rates well in this field and deserves another chance.

3rd Pick
6

Another Dazzler

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Neil Hocking

J: Non Runner

T: Neil Hocking

75---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Last start 5th of 9 at Toowoomba Bm60 on November 22 over 1 5/16m, 4.5 len behind Bavarian Lady with 119lbs at $14. The start before that from last on the turn 4th of 7 at Sunshine Coast Cl2 on November 14 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Super Fair with 121lbs at $51. Rates well in this field and deserves another chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.