AU - Gatton - Race 8

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

14.4K

VIEW

Verdict

MOONSHINE RUN (1) resumes from a break and looks well placed this easier grade. Winner only try over this course and distance and has won fresh. Looks hard to hold out. PRIVALOVA (12) ran out of condition on the Sunshine Coast poly fresh and will strip much fitter for the first try for the new yard. Tricky gate but rolls forward and should improve sharply. FORTUNEER (3) has been knocking on the door and although this tougher gets a senior rider this time and a low draw. Worth following up. MERCHANT LADY (9) has been thereabouts the last couple. Has won this circuit and is sure to be prominent. NAILS AND PRIDE (2) is fitter for two runs back and worth including.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Back from a spell. Finished off last campaign third of 9 at Ipswich Bm70 November 26 over 1 ¹/16m, soft track, 1.5 len behind Wirewalker carrying 128lbs at $16. Previously first up, fifth of 15 at Gold Coast 0 - 58 August 2 over 7f, soft track, 3.5 len behind Archers Reign with 131lbs at $11. Resuming in easier and expected to go close fresh. 1st Pick 1 Moonshine Run Jockey: Karl Zechner Trainer: Nicholas Beck J: Karl Zechner T: Nicholas Beck	94	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Back from a spell. Finished off last campaign third of 9 at Ipswich Bm70 November 26 over 1 ¹/16m, soft track, 1.5 len behind Wirewalker carrying 128lbs at $16. Previously first up, fifth of 15 at Gold Coast 0 - 58 August 2 over 7f, soft track, 3.5 len behind Archers Reign with 131lbs at $11. Resuming in easier and expected to go close fresh.
12	Second run back. First-up after five months second last of 7 at Sunshine Coast Poly Bm58 on May 17 over 7f, 5 len behind Krumac with 130lbs at $4.40. Previously second-up 5th of 9 at Kilmore Bm56 on September 29 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Greenhill Prince with 127lbs at $5.50. Rates highly and expected to finish much closer. 2nd Pick 12 Privalova Jockey: Tiffani Brooker Trainer: James Healy J: Tiffani Brooker T: James Healy	133	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after five months second last of 7 at Sunshine Coast Poly Bm58 on May 17 over 7f, 5 len behind Krumac with 130lbs at $4.40. Previously second-up 5th of 9 at Kilmore Bm56 on September 29 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Greenhill Prince with 127lbs at $5.50. Rates highly and expected to finish much closer.
3	Dual acceptor. Form hard to fault. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 7 at Beaudesert Hib Cup Cl3 on May 23 over 6f, slow going 4.5 len behind Pareto carrying 123lbs at $6.50. The run before that came from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Warwick Cl3 on May 7 over 6 ¾f, 2.75 len behind Cool Music with 121lbs at $9.50. This tougher but senior rider on and drawn to enjoy a cosy run from an inside stall. 3rd Pick 3 Fortuneer Jockey: Jaden Lloyd Trainer: Renita Beaton J: Jaden Lloyd T: Renita Beaton	183	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Dual acceptor. Form hard to fault. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 7 at Beaudesert Hib Cup Cl3 on May 23 over 6f, slow going 4.5 len behind Pareto carrying 123lbs at $6.50. The run before that came from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Warwick Cl3 on May 7 over 6 ¾f, 2.75 len behind Cool Music with 121lbs at $9.50. This tougher but senior rider on and drawn to enjoy a cosy run from an inside stall.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.