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5:58 AM

AU - Gatton - Race 8

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
7f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
13.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ARIAT (5) went close this grade/trip at Eagle Farm and then stepped up to a mile there and found the 85 a bit rich. She will use the low barrier and is well placed at this level with a handy 4lbs claim. SAVAII (7) has been switched from NSW by the Archibald yard, and was last seen 19 days ago beaten 2L over 7f at Goulburn in a 66. That stacks up, and he will be fitter again. VICTORY COMMAND (3) peaks and has been racing in stronger metro contests. Has switched yards on an 18-day return and the blinkers go on again, and the rest of the extra gear comes off. Back to a sprint and can go a lot better at this level. LONE FORCE (12) has the rail and is up to this at best. Tumbles in weight and will be fitter second-up.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Ariat silk

Most recently sat behind the speed prior to fading second last of 8 at Eagle Farm Bm85 on March 21 over 1m, 5 len behind Mr Buster carrying 112lbs at $15. The race before that rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 11 at Eagle Farm Bm70 on March 7 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Celestial Blaze with 121lbs at $15. Top chance.

1st Pick
5

Ariat

Jockey: Reece O'connell

Trainer: Anthony Freeman

J: Reece O'connell

T: Anthony Freeman

167---29%5/2

Analysis

Most recently sat behind the speed prior to fading second last of 8 at Eagle Farm Bm85 on March 21 over 1m, 5 len behind Mr Buster carrying 112lbs at $15. The race before that rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 11 at Eagle Farm Bm70 on March 7 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Celestial Blaze with 121lbs at $15. Top chance.

7
Savaii silk

Dual acceptor. Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 5th of 8 at Goulburn Cl3 on February 27 over 6f, slow going 8 len behind Cyclone Rupert carrying 134lbs at $4.20. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 8 at Goulburn Bm66 on March 22 over 7f, slow going 2 len behind Acheson carrying 132lbs at $5.50. Capable of a better showing. Should go close.

2nd Pick
7

Savaii

Jockey: Micheal Hellyer

Trainer: Annabel & Rob Archibald

J: Micheal Hellyer

T: Annabel & Rob Archibald

141---23%7/2

Analysis

Dual acceptor. Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 5th of 8 at Goulburn Cl3 on February 27 over 6f, slow going 8 len behind Cyclone Rupert carrying 134lbs at $4.20. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 8 at Goulburn Bm66 on March 22 over 7f, slow going 2 len behind Acheson carrying 132lbs at $5.50. Capable of a better showing. Should go close.

3
Victory Command silk

Last start raced on the speed throughout before fading to run last of 7 at Eagle Farm Bm78 on March 21 over 1m, on a slow track, 5 len behind Jenni Moreese with 123lbs at $18. Before that eased back early on 6th of 8 at Doomben Cl5 on February 25 over 1m, 6 len behind Ramp It Up carrying 127lbs at $14. Would have claims at best.

3rd Pick
3

Victory Command

Jockey: Corey Sutherland

Trainer: Jesse Townsend

J: Corey Sutherland

T: Jesse Townsend

95---10%10/1

Analysis

Last start raced on the speed throughout before fading to run last of 7 at Eagle Farm Bm78 on March 21 over 1m, on a slow track, 5 len behind Jenni Moreese with 123lbs at $18. Before that eased back early on 6th of 8 at Doomben Cl5 on February 25 over 1m, 6 len behind Ramp It Up carrying 127lbs at $14. Would have claims at best.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.