AU - Gatton - Race 4

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

15.4K

VIEW

Verdict

Looks a race in three. TASSORATI (11) returned a good figure two back when she led and held on gamely for third over this distance at Eagle Farm at the most recent outing. Not quite as effective last start when she reverted to 7f. Beautifully weighted after the claim and back to the mile she looks the goods. CIRQUE DE LA VIE (9) turned in an eye-catcher first-up over 7f at the Sunshine Coast, coming from near the tail to be beaten a neck. Enjoys the gun run out of gate one and the extra trip looks perfect at this stage of the prep. BRASS BAND (1) just missed in a three-way go over this course and distance recently, the third minor placing in succession. Racing well enough to give this a shake. Bit of a gap to the next best SOMETHING SHINY (2) who might improve with the winkers removed. READY TO BOIL (12) is very fit and managed a placing at Esk last start. This is much harder so exotics only.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
11	At the latest run raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 13 at Eagle Farm 3yo Mdn-Sw on July 15 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Love Rebel carrying 123lbs at $9. The race before that 3rd of 9 at Eagle Farm Mdn-Sw on July 1 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.2 len behind Iconify carrying 123lbs at $6.50. Expected to do much better in this inferior race. 1st Pick 11 Tassorati Jockey: William Galloway Trainer: Tony Gollan J: William Galloway T: Tony Gollan	172	-	-	-	50%
Analysis At the latest run raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 13 at Eagle Farm 3yo Mdn-Sw on July 15 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Love Rebel carrying 123lbs at $9. The race before that 3rd of 9 at Eagle Farm Mdn-Sw on July 1 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.2 len behind Iconify carrying 123lbs at $6.50. Expected to do much better in this inferior race.
5	Most recently crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 4th of 12 at Grafton Super Mdn-Sw on July 15 over 1 ¹/16m, 1.4 len behind Aurora Effect carrying 130lbs at $26. Before that 5th of 8 at Beaudesert 3yo Mdn on July 7 over 1 m, 2.25 len behind Weekend Spirit carrying 128lbs at $3.50. Rock hard fit and this looks a winnable race. 2nd Pick 5 Steady On Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Jimmy Downes J: Non Runner T: Jimmy Downes	136	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Most recently crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 4th of 12 at Grafton Super Mdn-Sw on July 15 over 1 ¹/16m, 1.4 len behind Aurora Effect carrying 130lbs at $26. Before that 5th of 8 at Beaudesert 3yo Mdn on July 7 over 1 m, 2.25 len behind Weekend Spirit carrying 128lbs at $3.50. Rock hard fit and this looks a winnable race.
9	Second-up. First-up after six months 2nd of 13 at Sunshine Coast Mdn-Sw on July 12 over 7f, slow going neck behind Cambridge Bay carrying 117lbs at $31. Previously second-up ran second last of 12 at this track Mdn-Sw on December 21 over 7f, 7 len behind Gold Dazzler with 121lbs at $9. Sure to make her presence felt. 3rd Pick 9 Cirque De La Vie Jockey: Kayla Johnston Trainer: Liam Birchley J: Kayla Johnston T: Liam Birchley	127	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after six months 2nd of 13 at Sunshine Coast Mdn-Sw on July 12 over 7f, slow going neck behind Cambridge Bay carrying 117lbs at $31. Previously second-up ran second last of 12 at this track Mdn-Sw on December 21 over 7f, 7 len behind Gold Dazzler with 121lbs at $9. Sure to make her presence felt.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.