AU - Gatton - Race 2

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

4.3f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

15.4K

VIEW

Verdict

EXCESS CAPITAL (4) showed little early pace but warmed to the task late to get up for fourth over this course and distance last start. Likely to be giving away and start again but watch for her late in the piece. FUNKY COLD MEDINA (1) has raced four times, all in the 1000-5 ¼f range, and been competitive on each occasion. Should find this easier than the last outing - just needs to adapt to the more frantic tempo to be highly competitive. STARWARD (3) has been kept fresh since finishing second over 4f at Kilcoy six weeks ago. Has had plenty of chances but still looks one of the better hopes. GOODFELLA FINCH (11) led for the judge but found a couple better late in the piece over 5 ¼f at Inverell recently. That was a big improvement on the first-up run so he might be worth following. ALIZA (12) wasn't beaten far over this course and distance at the latest outing. Should feature again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Racing well recently. Last start 4th of 10 at this track Mdn-Sw on July 10 over 4 ¼f, 1.2 len behind Bottles Of Shells carrying 125lbs at $15. The run before that 4th of 10 at Dalby Mdn-Sw on June 18 over 5f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Aeropower carrying 125lbs at $26. Racing well and this looks entirely within reach. 1st Pick 4 Excess Capital Jockey: Kenji Yoshida Trainer: Ravyn Warzecha J: Kenji Yoshida T: Ravyn Warzecha	167	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start 4th of 10 at this track Mdn-Sw on July 10 over 4 ¼f, 1.2 len behind Bottles Of Shells carrying 125lbs at $15. The run before that 4th of 10 at Dalby Mdn-Sw on June 18 over 5f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Aeropower carrying 125lbs at $26. Racing well and this looks entirely within reach.
8	Most recently 3rd of 9 at Ipswich 3yo Mdn-Sw on July 24 over 4f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Kinki Fish with 123lbs at $26. The run before that sat on the speed throughout before fading ran second last of 10 at Beaudesert Mdn on July 7 over 5 ½f, 1.4 len behind Shown The Door with 120lbs at $18. Made headway last time. Heading the right way and can take this out without surprising. 2nd Pick 8 Luminous Girl Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Jack Bruce J: Non Runner T: Jack Bruce	134	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Most recently 3rd of 9 at Ipswich 3yo Mdn-Sw on July 24 over 4f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Kinki Fish with 123lbs at $26. The run before that sat on the speed throughout before fading ran second last of 10 at Beaudesert Mdn on July 7 over 5 ½f, 1.4 len behind Shown The Door with 120lbs at $18. Made headway last time. Heading the right way and can take this out without surprising.
1	At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 14 at Grafton Ctry Mdn-Sw on July 15 over 5f, 3 len behind Farnished carrying 130lbs at $5. Before that 2nd in a small field at Inverell Mdn-Sw on June 19 over 5 ¼f, 1.5 len behind Here's Beau with 130lbs at $3. Great chance to break through in this easier maiden. 3rd Pick 1 Funky Cold Medina Jockey: Yvette Lewis Trainer: Gary Nielsen J: Yvette Lewis T: Gary Nielsen	81	-	-	-	29%
Analysis At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 14 at Grafton Ctry Mdn-Sw on July 15 over 5f, 3 len behind Farnished carrying 130lbs at $5. Before that 2nd in a small field at Inverell Mdn-Sw on June 19 over 5 ¼f, 1.5 len behind Here's Beau with 130lbs at $3. Great chance to break through in this easier maiden.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.