AU - Emerald - Race 7

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 6

10.2K

VIEW

Verdict

Hard to go past JUKEBOX LUCY (9) who is unbeaten from two starts this time in. Won here two back then was too tough as favourite at Mackay in the latest. Tricky gate but only needs to be holding form to be winning again. INVICTUS LAD (8) may be the biggest danger. Tackled the Country Stampede at Doomben latest and was four lengths away. Rates highly this line-up and gets chance to atone. TAVANASIA (5) last appeared when sixth over 1 ³/16m at Canberra Acton five months ago. Lines up today for the first time for trainer Glenda Bell. Has pace and looks a definite top-three chance. HIGHGROUND (12) was safely held last time at Rocky but scored with 139lbs the start prior. Nicely weighted today and draws the inside so gets a chance to give a sight. CAPTAIN FOX (7) is a veteran sprinter who has had 24 tries this trip for just one win but 12 minors. Tough and should be in the mix.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Racing well recently. Comes here off a 48-day let-up. Most recently favourite, won by a head at Mackay Cl6-Sw December 6 over 5 ½f defeating Woodstock Rock with 125lbs at $2.60. The run before that favourite, won by a neck at this track Bm65 November 22 over 5f defeating Rebelious Red carrying 137lbs at $2.90. Unbeaten in four runs this time in and is the one to beat again. 1st Pick 9 Jukebox Lucy Jockey: Maddie Mankelow Trainer: Toni Schofield J: Maddie Mankelow T: Toni Schofield	252	-	-	-	39%	13/8
Analysis Racing well recently. Comes here off a 48-day let-up. Most recently favourite, won by a head at Mackay Cl6-Sw December 6 over 5 ½f defeating Woodstock Rock with 125lbs at $2.60. The run before that favourite, won by a neck at this track Bm65 November 22 over 5f defeating Rebelious Red carrying 137lbs at $2.90. Unbeaten in four runs this time in and is the one to beat again.
8	Comes off a 48 day let-up. At the latest run 8th of 16 at Doomben Cntry Stampede on December 6 over 5 ½f, 4 len behind Smiling Zac carrying 120lbs at $12. The start before that 2nd of 10 at Clermont Hcp on November 15 over 5f, head behind Just Super with 127lbs at $5. Rates highly here and expected to do much better. 2nd Pick 8 Invictus Lad Jockey: Warwick Satherley Trainer: Glenda Bell J: Warwick Satherley T: Glenda Bell	82	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Comes off a 48 day let-up. At the latest run 8th of 16 at Doomben Cntry Stampede on December 6 over 5 ½f, 4 len behind Smiling Zac carrying 120lbs at $12. The start before that 2nd of 10 at Clermont Hcp on November 15 over 5f, head behind Just Super with 127lbs at $5. Rates highly here and expected to do much better.
5	Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of five months. Finished off last campaign sixth of 11 at Canberra Acton Open Bm84 August 22 over 1 ³/16m, 1.75 len behind Sunsource carrying 125lbs at $20. Previously first up, eighth of 13 at Dubbo Ctry Bm58 January 14 2025 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Himorher with 131lbs at $14. First run for new yard and expected to take catching. 3rd Pick 5 Tavanasia Jockey: Ashley Butler Trainer: Glenda Bell J: Ashley Butler T: Glenda Bell	90	-	-	-	7%	14/1
Analysis Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of five months. Finished off last campaign sixth of 11 at Canberra Acton Open Bm84 August 22 over 1 ³/16m, 1.75 len behind Sunsource carrying 125lbs at $20. Previously first up, eighth of 13 at Dubbo Ctry Bm58 January 14 2025 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Himorher with 131lbs at $14. First run for new yard and expected to take catching.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.