AU - Emerald - Race 6

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Class 3

Turf

SOFT 6

10.2K

VIEW

Verdict

SILVER HAMMER (3) won two on end then drew poorly last time and was back and wide throughout without threatening. Much better gate this time and gets a chance to atone. TARA I AM (10) is a progressive filly who got off the mark in her first campaign then returned with a solid third at Rocky in the latest. Fitter for it and will find this easier. Worth following up. REBELIOUS RED (4) was disappointing last time but ran well here a few starts back when raced on speed and fought on for a placing. Has claims on that effort. REIGNING ALPHA (5) is a former Toowoomba galloper having first run for the new yard. Form is better than it looks and worth watching closely in his first try in this area. AMBERINGER (6) is drawn for a soft run on the inside and among the chances while fresh.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Comes off a 36 day let-up. Last start 5th of 11 at Rockhampton Cl3-Sw on December 18 over 6f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Red Beauty carrying 132lbs at $10. The run before that won by a nose at Rockhampton Cl3-Sw November 28 over 5 ¼f on a soft track defeating Kai Mondo carrying 129lbs at $7. Much better drawn this time and expected to bounce back. 1st Pick 3 Silver Hammer Jockey: Warwick Satherley Trainer: Glenda Bell J: Warwick Satherley T: Glenda Bell	127	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Comes off a 36 day let-up. Last start 5th of 11 at Rockhampton Cl3-Sw on December 18 over 6f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Red Beauty carrying 132lbs at $10. The run before that won by a nose at Rockhampton Cl3-Sw November 28 over 5 ¼f on a soft track defeating Kai Mondo carrying 129lbs at $7. Much better drawn this time and expected to bounce back.
10	Second-up. First-up after three months held ground to the line 3rd of 10 at Rockhampton 3&4yo Hcp on January 8 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 3 len behind I'm A Condygirl carrying 119lbs at $17. Previously second-up 2nd in a small field at Rockhampton 3yo Hcp on October 3 over 5 ¼f, slow going long-neck behind Our Eagle Rock carrying 121lbs at $13. Improving filly fitter and worth following up. 2nd Pick 10 Tara I Am Jockey: Raul Silvera Olivera Trainer: Stephen Rundle J: Raul Silvera Olivera T: Stephen Rundle	112	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after three months held ground to the line 3rd of 10 at Rockhampton 3&4yo Hcp on January 8 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 3 len behind I'm A Condygirl carrying 119lbs at $17. Previously second-up 2nd in a small field at Rockhampton 3yo Hcp on October 3 over 5 ¼f, slow going long-neck behind Our Eagle Rock carrying 121lbs at $13. Improving filly fitter and worth following up.
4	At the latest run ran last of 11 at Mackay Cl2-Sw on December 30 over 6f, 9 len behind Zipitalist carrying 132lbs at $7.50. Before that 6th of 8 at Rockhampton Bm62 on December 9 over 5 ¼f, 4 len behind Kai Mondo carrying 131lbs at $14. Can bounce back. On speed and placed only try here and expected to give a sight. 3rd Pick 4 Rebelious Red Jockey: Amie Meissner Trainer: Graeme Green J: Amie Meissner T: Graeme Green	168	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis At the latest run ran last of 11 at Mackay Cl2-Sw on December 30 over 6f, 9 len behind Zipitalist carrying 132lbs at $7.50. Before that 6th of 8 at Rockhampton Bm62 on December 9 over 5 ¼f, 4 len behind Kai Mondo carrying 131lbs at $14. Can bounce back. On speed and placed only try here and expected to give a sight.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.