AU - Emerald - Race 4

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

6.4f

Class 4

Turf

GOOD 4

10.6K

VIEW

Verdict

Another competitive race. ELLIBABY (7) was having first try for the Bell yard and immediately off the mark fresh scoring at Yeppoon. Fitter and worth following up. WOLFGANG (3) was a Rocky winner two back then led and faded last time at Warwick. Speedy type drawn the fence and will take catching. DARK GLEAM (2) was safely held in a below par run in richer company at Rocky last time. Has the claim and a low draw. Worth another chance. STECARA (6) got home to score first try here last time and can measure up again. ARMSTRONG BAY (4) is back in form with a Longreach win last time and wasn't far away only try here.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
7	Second-up. First-up after nine months favourite, won by 1.75 len at Yeppoon on August 1 over 6f defeating Gunnie Gunfighter carrying 127lbs at $2.40. Previously second-up 6th of 8 at Doomben on October 29 over 6 ¾f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Boom Shot carrying 127lbs at $3. Straight off the mark for the new yard and worth following up. 1st Pick 7 Ellibaby Jockey: Warwick Satherley Trainer: Glenda Bell J: Warwick Satherley T: Glenda Bell	224	-	-	-	56%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after nine months favourite, won by 1.75 len at Yeppoon on August 1 over 6f defeating Gunnie Gunfighter carrying 127lbs at $2.40. Previously second-up 6th of 8 at Doomben on October 29 over 6 ¾f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Boom Shot carrying 127lbs at $3. Straight off the mark for the new yard and worth following up.
3	Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily ran second last of 7 at Warwick on August 4 over 5 ½f, 2.25 len behind Rothgo carrying 126lbs at $8.50. The start before that won by 0.5 len at Rockhampton on July 21 over 6f defeating Darth Invader with 123lbs at $7.50. Speedy type drawn the fence and will take catching. 2nd Pick 3 Wolfgang Jockey: Kayla Barker Trainer: Rodney Hay J: Kayla Barker T: Rodney Hay	142	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily ran second last of 7 at Warwick on August 4 over 5 ½f, 2.25 len behind Rothgo carrying 126lbs at $8.50. The start before that won by 0.5 len at Rockhampton on July 21 over 6f defeating Darth Invader with 123lbs at $7.50. Speedy type drawn the fence and will take catching.
2	Returns from a 37-day let-up. Most recently ran last of 10 at Rockhampton on July 11 over 6f, slow going 5 len behind Certified Copy carrying 125lbs at $21. The race before that 3rd of 7 at Alpha on June 27 over 6f, 1.4 len behind Peninsula with 127lbs at $3.50. Better than last start so he deserves another chance. 3rd Pick 2 Dark Gleam Jockey: Amie Meissner Trainer: Glenda Bell J: Amie Meissner T: Glenda Bell	138	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Returns from a 37-day let-up. Most recently ran last of 10 at Rockhampton on July 11 over 6f, slow going 5 len behind Certified Copy carrying 125lbs at $21. The race before that 3rd of 7 at Alpha on June 27 over 6f, 1.4 len behind Peninsula with 127lbs at $3.50. Better than last start so he deserves another chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.