AU - Emerald - Race 2

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

5.5f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 6

11.5K

VIEW

Verdict

DANCING TROFFEA (11) is a former Victorian who showed good speed in two runs down there but in her first run this area was heavily bet and drifted back. Found the line strongly though and just kissed the frame. Fitter for it and looks well placed to atone. PENROD (5) has had three runs for the new yard and hasn't been disgraced in tougher company. Drawn much better this time and looks well placed. SHEMAKESMENERVOUS (12) has been overdue for a while, placing in her last four including all three for the new yard. Drawn to enjoy a soft run and rates to feature. BUSH BATTLE (3) has been freshened since a solid fourth at Rockhampton. Close to a win and should run well despite a wide draw. FIGO (4) makes his debut for a local yard. Has trialled twice for the former Lees yard but trained here now and is worth watching for a move.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
11	Comes off a 34 day let-up. At the latest run 4th of 7 at Chinchilla 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on December 20 over 5f, 2 len behind Destiny Gungho carrying 123lbs at $2.25. Before that faded in the straight 8th of 10 at Mornington Mdn-Sw on November 2 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Arabian Myth carrying 123lbs at $5.50. Not far away at first run for new yard and looks nicely placed to open her account. 1st Pick 11 Dancing Troffea Jockey: Sarah Robbins Trainer: Wayne Baker J: Sarah Robbins T: Wayne Baker	83	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Comes off a 34 day let-up. At the latest run 4th of 7 at Chinchilla 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on December 20 over 5f, 2 len behind Destiny Gungho carrying 123lbs at $2.25. Before that faded in the straight 8th of 10 at Mornington Mdn-Sw on November 2 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Arabian Myth carrying 123lbs at $5.50. Not far away at first run for new yard and looks nicely placed to open her account.
5	Last start 5th of 12 at Rockhampton Mdn-Sw on January 8 over 5 ¼f, slow going 6 len behind Wax On Wax Off carrying 126lbs at $51. The run before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 11 at Mackay Mdn-Sw on December 30 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Four Leaf Wonder carrying 126lbs at $5.50. Has run well for three tries for new yard and this looks ideal. 2nd Pick 5 Penrod Jockey: Ashley Butler Trainer: Tracy Simmons J: Ashley Butler T: Tracy Simmons	166	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Last start 5th of 12 at Rockhampton Mdn-Sw on January 8 over 5 ¼f, slow going 6 len behind Wax On Wax Off carrying 126lbs at $51. The run before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 11 at Mackay Mdn-Sw on December 30 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Four Leaf Wonder carrying 126lbs at $5.50. Has run well for three tries for new yard and this looks ideal.
12	Recent form sound. At the latest run sat on the pace when 3rd of 12 at Rockhampton Mdn-Sw on January 8 over 5 ¼f, slow going 5 len behind Wax On Wax Off with 121lbs at $11. The race before that sat on the pace when 3rd of 11 at Mackay Mdn-Sw on December 30 over 5 ½f, 0.5 len behind Four Leaf Wonder carrying 121lbs at $3.40. Long overdue and drawn to enjoy a cosy run from an inside draw. 3rd Pick 12 Shemakesmenervous Jockey: Christopher Mciver Trainer: Jamie Mcconachy J: Christopher Mciver T: Jamie Mcconachy	210	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run sat on the pace when 3rd of 12 at Rockhampton Mdn-Sw on January 8 over 5 ¼f, slow going 5 len behind Wax On Wax Off with 121lbs at $11. The race before that sat on the pace when 3rd of 11 at Mackay Mdn-Sw on December 30 over 5 ½f, 0.5 len behind Four Leaf Wonder carrying 121lbs at $3.40. Long overdue and drawn to enjoy a cosy run from an inside draw.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.