AU - Eagle Farm - Race 8

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

26.4K

VIEW

Verdict

Tricky. Gollan-trained SIMPLY EXCELS (1) was quickly back on track when beaten a whisker over this distance in a CL2 at the Sunshine Coast. He will push forward and has a jockey switch to the talented 7lbs claimer Williams. Has been kept on the fresh side and can go one better. STEIN (12) is a promising filly who was backed off the map leading and winning a Doomben Maiden over this trip. Will jump and run from an inside barrier and keeps the handy 4lbs claim. She won't have to improve much to fight out the finish. CINDERSEA (5) is also promising. Had been off the scene for 420 days but was too good for a Cl2 field at Ipswich first up. Didn't have the best of it in a CL3 at the Gold Coast following and will be fitter again. Jumps from an awkward gate but has more up the sleeve. The 7lbs claim brings her right into it. THE STARS (10) went close at Ipswich first-up and also has more to give. Will likely jump from the outside barrier but can't be ruled out.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Comes here off a 34-day let-up. Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at Sunshine Coast Cl2 on January 1 over 6f, neck behind Blue Allure with 132lbs at $4. The start before that raced behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 9 at Ipswich Cg&E Cl3 on December 3 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind The Hamo with 126lbs at $9. Shapes as the key runner. 1st Pick 1 Simply Excels Jockey: Jai Williams Trainer: Tony Gollan J: Jai Williams T: Tony Gollan	142	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Comes here off a 34-day let-up. Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at Sunshine Coast Cl2 on January 1 over 6f, neck behind Blue Allure with 132lbs at $4. The start before that raced behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 9 at Ipswich Cg&E Cl3 on December 3 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind The Hamo with 126lbs at $9. Shapes as the key runner.
12	Recent form sound. At the latest run favourite, won by 0.9 len at Doomben Mdn January 17 over 6f defeating Linwar with 119lbs at $1.35. The start before that raced on the pace when 2nd of 9 at Ipswich 3yo Mdn on January 3 over 6f, 3 len behind Hunter's Mate with 127lbs at $2.30. Will take catching again. 2nd Pick 12 Stein Jockey: Tahlia Fenlon Trainer: Chris & Corey Munce J: Tahlia Fenlon T: Chris & Corey Munce	128	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run favourite, won by 0.9 len at Doomben Mdn January 17 over 6f defeating Linwar with 119lbs at $1.35. The start before that raced on the pace when 2nd of 9 at Ipswich 3yo Mdn on January 3 over 6f, 3 len behind Hunter's Mate with 127lbs at $2.30. Will take catching again.
5	Third-up today. First-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.9 len at Ipswich Cl2-Sw January 10 over 5 ½f defeating Jenchick Boom with 123lbs at $4. Last start 4th of 8 at Gold Coast Cl3-Sw on January 23 over 6f, 3 len behind Greyzous carrying 123lbs at $3.50. Ready to peak after two runs back and is expected to be in the finish. 3rd Pick 5 Cindersea Jockey: Jasper Franklin Trainer: Michael Freedman J: Jasper Franklin T: Michael Freedman	143	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Third-up today. First-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.9 len at Ipswich Cl2-Sw January 10 over 5 ½f defeating Jenchick Boom with 123lbs at $4. Last start 4th of 8 at Gold Coast Cl3-Sw on January 23 over 6f, 3 len behind Greyzous carrying 123lbs at $3.50. Ready to peak after two runs back and is expected to be in the finish.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.