AU - Eagle Farm - Race 6

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 8

26.5K

VIEW

Verdict

ABENDER (2) tackles an easier assignment and should be hitting his straps fourth-up over a trip he relishes. The form around him reads favourably and the low draw should give him a great look. KEEP IT REAL (8) brings a different profile. He was held up when beaten a nose two back, then had late interference at Gold Coast. First-time blinkers could give him a genuine spark third-up. SHORTCUT (10) took on tougher company last campaign, so she should get a pleasant surprise when walking around the mounting yard. Has been fitted with two trials and can play a major role fresh. DISCREET POINT (9) was okay when a beaten fav at Ballina. Expecting more second-up.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Worked into the right spot in a Doomben Class 3 last start and was sound rather than sharp when fourth, beaten just over two lengths by Spiethtacular. That followed another fourth in a CG BM78, so he brings the strongest grade reference into this BM68. Proven at 6f and suited fourth-up, he looks the one to beat. 1st Pick 2 Abender Jockey: Cejay Graham Trainer: Tony Gollan J: Cejay Graham T: Tony Gollan	143	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Worked into the right spot in a Doomben Class 3 last start and was sound rather than sharp when fourth, beaten just over two lengths by Spiethtacular. That followed another fourth in a CG BM78, so he brings the strongest grade reference into this BM68. Proven at 6f and suited fourth-up, he looks the one to beat.
1	Had every chance in a Class 3 at Doomben last start and dropped out to finish last, beaten just over seven lengths by Spiethtacular. His previous fifth at this track was better, as he jumped awkwardly on soft ground and was still sent out favourite. Claim and wet form keep him in play. 2nd Pick 1 Stormland Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Non Runner T: Ciaron Maher	145	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Had every chance in a Class 3 at Doomben last start and dropped out to finish last, beaten just over seven lengths by Spiethtacular. His previous fifth at this track was better, as he jumped awkwardly on soft ground and was still sent out favourite. Claim and wet form keep him in play.
8	Was beaten just under three lengths in a Gold Coast BM62 last start, and late interference adds some context to that fifth. Two back he was held up on the home turn before going under by a nose in a CG Class 1 as short odds-on favourite. First-time blinkers make him a live threat. 3rd Pick 8 Keep It Real Jockey: Michael Rodd Trainer: James Healy J: Michael Rodd T: James Healy	147	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Was beaten just under three lengths in a Gold Coast BM62 last start, and late interference adds some context to that fifth. Two back he was held up on the home turn before going under by a nose in a CG Class 1 as short odds-on favourite. First-time blinkers make him a live threat.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.