AU - Eagle Farm - Race 4

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Class 1

Turf

HEAVY 8

26.5K

VIEW

Verdict

WOOTTEN HYDE (5) returns and will get a pleasant surprise when he looks around the mounting yard. Didn't fire in the LR Daybreak Lover before the break but his prior efforts behind Fabulantes read strongly for this CL1 and his recent trial suggests he's come back in good order. Similarly, WARREGO RIVER (12) also resumes from a rearward finish stakes company. Was a determined maiden winner in heavy going at Ipswich to kickoff last campaign, so she shouldn't be bothered by a wet deck, and her two trials in have been strong. FROSTNIP (7) makes her stable debut for the Dunn camp and shoulders some solid Victorian benchmark form. Has been readied with two strong trial performances and is among the main hopes. CONFORMITY (6) only warmed late when resuming at Doomben. Better for that and should take closer order second-up from the inside alley.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	Returns from a lengthy eight-month spell with the strongest exposed form, having been runner-up in Open grade at Doomben before tackling the Listed Daybreak Lover Plate at this venue. He was unwanted and beaten just over seven lengths there, but that was a much stronger assignment and he still made some late ground. The 5f suits enough and his Doomben second reads well for this. 1st Pick 5 Wootten Hyde Jockey: Ben Thompson Trainer: Jack Bruce J: Ben Thompson T: Jack Bruce	157	-	-	-	58%
Analysis Returns from a lengthy eight-month spell with the strongest exposed form, having been runner-up in Open grade at Doomben before tackling the Listed Daybreak Lover Plate at this venue. He was unwanted and beaten just over seven lengths there, but that was a much stronger assignment and he still made some late ground. The 5f suits enough and his Doomben second reads well for this.
12	Returns from a five-month break after finding the Listed Oxlade Stakes too strong at this track, finishing second last behind Cool Gent with no real excuse. Her Ipswich Open win beforehand, beating Holy Terror on heavy ground, is the key reference, and she has since won a Doomben trial. Trial win and winning rider back are positives. 2nd Pick 12 Warrego River Jockey: Daniel Moor Trainer: Tony Gollan J: Daniel Moor T: Tony Gollan	101	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Returns from a five-month break after finding the Listed Oxlade Stakes too strong at this track, finishing second last behind Cool Gent with no real excuse. Her Ipswich Open win beforehand, beating Holy Terror on heavy ground, is the key reference, and she has since won a Doomben trial. Trial win and winning rider back are positives.
7	Returns from a lengthy eight-month spell for the Matthew Dunn stable after a mixed Cranbourne campaign, ending last of six in a F BM64 but beaten just under five lengths. The stronger reference is her BM64 second two back, when sent out favourite and beaten a nose by Blethyn. Her Cranbourne BM64 nose second gives her a strong winning case. 3rd Pick 7 Frostnip Jockey: Andrew Mallyon Trainer: Matthew Dunn J: Andrew Mallyon T: Matthew Dunn	122	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Returns from a lengthy eight-month spell for the Matthew Dunn stable after a mixed Cranbourne campaign, ending last of six in a F BM64 but beaten just under five lengths. The stronger reference is her BM64 second two back, when sent out favourite and beaten a nose by Blethyn. Her Cranbourne BM64 nose second gives her a strong winning case.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.