AU - Dubbo - Race 8

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

5.5f

OPEN

Turf

GOOD 4

52.7K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

CRUSADER KINGS (5) on the up and undefeated in two starts at this course. Jumped in trip and class with a game fourth over 6 ½f at Bathurst in the Panorama. Proven at this trip and can bounce back to form. WHERE'STHEPROFIT (7) lightly raced gelding with a good winning CV. Has impressed in his two runs back and since kept up to the mark with a 4 ½f trial win. Maps well with Ash Morgan aboard, go close. CASTLEBAR ROAD (4) has been in sparkling form, scoring two wins on end only to miss when fifth over 4 ¾f at Moree. Gets the claim again from the right gate. Each way. MICRO MIKKI (8) tongue tie goes on and back to his pet trip. Worth thought.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming won by a nose in a Bm82 at this track on September 7 over 6f defeating Crook with 130lbs at $1.55. Last start 4th of 12 in a Panorama at Bathurst on September 13 over 6 ½f, slow going 4.5 len behind Ishikari with 131lbs at $13. Rates highly. Unbeaten here and can do much better over this trip. 1st Pick 5 Crusader Kings Jockey: Jean Van Overmeire Trainer: Mark Jones J: Jean Van Overmeire T: Mark Jones	164	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming won by a nose in a Bm82 at this track on September 7 over 6f defeating Crook with 130lbs at $1.55. Last start 4th of 12 in a Panorama at Bathurst on September 13 over 6 ½f, slow going 4.5 len behind Ishikari with 131lbs at $13. Rates highly. Unbeaten here and can do much better over this trip.
7	Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up favourite, won by 2.75 len in a Bm74 at Muswellbrook on August 9 over 5f defeating Cresta Run carrying 133lbs at $1.75. Second run from a spell rolled along in front before being edged out 2nd of 9 in a Tamw Rush at Tamworth on August 25 over 6f, slow going 1.75 len behind Tough Guy with 129lbs at $2.20. Strong formlines for this type of race, go close from the rails draw. 2nd Pick 7 Where'stheprofit Jockey: Ashley Morgan Trainer: Cameron Crockett J: Ashley Morgan T: Cameron Crockett	143	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up favourite, won by 2.75 len in a Bm74 at Muswellbrook on August 9 over 5f defeating Cresta Run carrying 133lbs at $1.75. Second run from a spell rolled along in front before being edged out 2nd of 9 in a Tamw Rush at Tamworth on August 25 over 6f, slow going 1.75 len behind Tough Guy with 129lbs at $2.20. Strong formlines for this type of race, go close from the rails draw.
4	At the latest run 5th of 13 in a Town Plate Bm86 at Moree on September 6 over 4 ¾f, 3 len behind Speck with 128lbs at $16. The run before that won by a nose in a Cupsprint at this track on August 10 over 5f in heavy going defeating Crook with 123lbs at $4.20. Nicely placed and is right in the mix. 3rd Pick 4 Castlebar Road Jockey: Gabrielle Johnston Trainer: Jane Clement J: Gabrielle Johnston T: Jane Clement	115	-	-	-	4%
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 13 in a Town Plate Bm86 at Moree on September 6 over 4 ¾f, 3 len behind Speck with 128lbs at $16. The run before that won by a nose in a Cupsprint at this track on August 10 over 5f in heavy going defeating Crook with 123lbs at $4.20. Nicely placed and is right in the mix.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race