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2:55 AM

AU - Devonport - Race 3

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
6.7f
Maiden
Synthetic
GOOD
17.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

KHALEESI'S DREAM (3) peaks and has been heavily backed and narrowly beaten at Launceston in his last three starts. Draws outside but keeps the top hoop and just has to take to the surface to take beating. ALLA RUSTICA (1) has switched from a Victorian yard on a 55-day return. Rates well on the first up run at Warrnambool and just missed in a recent trial at this track. Jumps from the rail with Pires engaged and has the ability to feature. LIGHT WORK (4) didn't run out the 1m last time, but his form prior this distance range would have him in the mix. Draws inside and will get every chance. OCCASIONAL GLIMPSE (5) resumes and has trialled well here. Will race over further but gets in well with the 7lbs claim and should be running into it. NEED A GIGGLE (2) will be fitter and may be the best of the others.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Khaleesi's Dream silk

Form hard to fault. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 7 at Launceston Mdn-Sw on April 10 over 7f, slow going nose behind Knights Reign carrying 123lbs at $1.60. The race before that 2nd in a small field at Launceston 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 27 over 7f, slow going 0.8 len behind Dennyson with 121lbs at $2.05. Expected to feature.

1st Pick
3

Khaleesi's Dream

Jockey: Erica Byrne Burke

Trainer: Adam Trinder

J: Erica Byrne Burke

T: Adam Trinder

285---75%1/3

Analysis

Form hard to fault. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 7 at Launceston Mdn-Sw on April 10 over 7f, slow going nose behind Knights Reign carrying 123lbs at $1.60. The race before that 2nd in a small field at Launceston 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 27 over 7f, slow going 0.8 len behind Dennyson with 121lbs at $2.05. Expected to feature.

1
Alla Rustica silk

Second-up. First start 8th of 11 at Bendigo 3yo Mdn-Sw on October 5 over 6 ½f, 8 len behind Heiwana Tamashi carrying 128lbs at $8.50. Went for a spell before returning 6th of 11 at Warrnambool Mdn-Sw on March 9 over 6 ½f, 3 len behind Transporter with 130lbs at $7. Plenty of improvement to come.

2nd Pick
1

Alla Rustica

Jockey: David Pires

Trainer: Leanne Gaffney

J: David Pires

T: Leanne Gaffney

137---25%3/1

Analysis

Second-up. First start 8th of 11 at Bendigo 3yo Mdn-Sw on October 5 over 6 ½f, 8 len behind Heiwana Tamashi carrying 128lbs at $8.50. Went for a spell before returning 6th of 11 at Warrnambool Mdn-Sw on March 9 over 6 ½f, 3 len behind Transporter with 130lbs at $7. Plenty of improvement to come.

4
Light Work silk

Racing well recently. Most recently 4th of 10 at Launceston Mdn-Sw on April 17 over 1m, 6 len behind Just Bobby with 123lbs at $5.50. The race before that 3rd in a small field at Launceston 3yo Mdn-Sw on April 10 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Waltzing Matilda carrying 121lbs at $6. Hard to beat on her best form.

3rd Pick
4

Light Work

Jockey: Lauryn Bingley

Trainer: John Blacker

J: Lauryn Bingley

T: John Blacker

115---9%11/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. Most recently 4th of 10 at Launceston Mdn-Sw on April 17 over 1m, 6 len behind Just Bobby with 123lbs at $5.50. The race before that 3rd in a small field at Launceston 3yo Mdn-Sw on April 10 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Waltzing Matilda carrying 121lbs at $6. Hard to beat on her best form.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.