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4:05 AM

AU - Coonabarabran - Race 4

Thoroughbred
16 Runners
6f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
35.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ZOYSIA (7) returned from a 27-week spell with a real eye-catcher last start, charging home late to grab third over 5 ½f at Coonamble. Failed to come up last prep but has put that behind him it seems. Sure to be tough to hold out over an extra ½f today. PAPER DOLL (1) was run off her legs early when resuming over 5f at Orange last time out but did get going late in the piece. Placed at both previous second-up outings and has been in the frame at four of five 6f runs. Profiles nicely. DIRTY DANI (5) led but couldn't quite hang on when fresh from a spell over 5f at Port Macquarie recently. Should lead and control things which makes her a big danger. OVERSHOOT (9) ran a cheeky race at Queanbeyan last start with the blinkers on. Freshened up to come back in trip at the first run for a new yard. One to consider. COMRADESHIP (4) is a new arrival in the Todd Smith stable. Best Victorian form puts him in the picture.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Zoysia silk

Second run back. First-up after seven months 3rd of 12 in a Ctry Mdn-Sw at Coonamble on October 11 over 5 ½f, 0.9 len behind Sleek 'N' Style carrying 130lbs at $21. Previously second-up eased back early on 10th of 14 in a Super 3yo+ Mdnsw at Dubbo on March 15 over 5 ½f, 7 len behind Sir Herridah with 130lbs at $16. Back in good order and this looks a nice second-up assignment.

1st Pick
7

Zoysia

Jockey: Kody Nestor

Trainer: Kieren Hazelton

J: Kody Nestor

T: Kieren Hazelton

115---7%15/1

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after seven months 3rd of 12 in a Ctry Mdn-Sw at Coonamble on October 11 over 5 ½f, 0.9 len behind Sleek 'N' Style carrying 130lbs at $21. Previously second-up eased back early on 10th of 14 in a Super 3yo+ Mdnsw at Dubbo on March 15 over 5 ½f, 7 len behind Sir Herridah with 130lbs at $16. Back in good order and this looks a nice second-up assignment.

1
Paper Doll silk

Second-up. First-up after eight months 5th of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Orange on October 8 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Kennedy Compound carrying 126lbs at $5. Previously second-up made ground from midfield, 2nd of 8 in a F&M Mdn at Gold Coast on November 1 over 6f, slow going 1.0 len behind Star Venture with 132lbs at $6. Far better placed out to 6f so she is right in this.

2nd Pick
1

Paper Doll

Jockey: Clayton Gallagher

Trainer: Connie Greig

J: Clayton Gallagher

T: Connie Greig

118---23%7/2

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after eight months 5th of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Orange on October 8 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Kennedy Compound carrying 126lbs at $5. Previously second-up made ground from midfield, 2nd of 8 in a F&M Mdn at Gold Coast on November 1 over 6f, slow going 1.0 len behind Star Venture with 132lbs at $6. Far better placed out to 6f so she is right in this.

5
Dirty Dani silk

Second run back. First-up after six months 3rd of 8 in a Mdn-Sw at Port Macquarie on October 10 over 5f, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind Rubinsky carrying 126lbs at $3.40. Previously second-up 2nd of 10 in a F&M Mdn-Sw at Wellington on April 10 over 5 ½f, 0.8 len behind She Thinks Ahead with 127lbs at $3.30. Not helped by the wide draw but she should improve second-up and is one of the better hopes.

3rd Pick
5

Dirty Dani

Jockey: Jake Pracey-Holmes

Trainer: Allan Kehoe

J: Jake Pracey-Holmes

T: Allan Kehoe

120---19%9/2

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after six months 3rd of 8 in a Mdn-Sw at Port Macquarie on October 10 over 5f, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind Rubinsky carrying 126lbs at $3.40. Previously second-up 2nd of 10 in a F&M Mdn-Sw at Wellington on April 10 over 5 ½f, 0.8 len behind She Thinks Ahead with 127lbs at $3.30. Not helped by the wide draw but she should improve second-up and is one of the better hopes.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.