AU - Coffs Harbour - Race 6

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Class 3

Turf

SOFT 5

19.4K

VIEW

Verdict

HUMPHREE BEAR (4) smart gelding who drops back to his preferred trip after giving his all for a game third over 6f at Grafton. Gets the right run again and can stalk the good speed and finish over the top of these. RICH STAR (1) exciting five-year-old gelding going nicely through the grades. Won three straight last prep and resumed with a tough on-pace second over 5 ?f at Grafton. Has his share of talent and proven second up. Leading player with the claim. THE ROOKIE (6) is mixing her form and gets in light with Palmer's claim after running third over 5 ½f at Gatton. Kept fresh and looks to have genuine claims. TRYANZA (7) has been thereabouts of late and doesn't have to find much to win this. Ploughed through the heavy going with a tough second over 6 ¼f at Ballina. Will appreciate the weight drop and not to be overlooked.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Racing well recently. Most recently ran on from midfield, 3rd of 12 in a Bm66 at Grafton on August 18 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.2 len behind Jewels Statement with 130lbs at $7. The race before that 3rd of 12 in a Bm74 at this track on August 7 over 5f, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Beer Baron with 121lbs at $9. Ticks plenty of boxes today over his preferred trip. 1st Pick 4 Humphree Bear Jockey: Danny Peisley Trainer: Shane Everson J: Danny Peisley T: Shane Everson	159	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently ran on from midfield, 3rd of 12 in a Bm66 at Grafton on August 18 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.2 len behind Jewels Statement with 130lbs at $7. The race before that 3rd of 12 in a Bm74 at this track on August 7 over 5f, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Beer Baron with 121lbs at $9. Ticks plenty of boxes today over his preferred trip.
1	Second-up. First-up after three months held ground to the line 2nd of 10 in a Bm66 at Grafton on August 18 over 5f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Dance Gavin Dance carrying 133lbs at $6.50. Previously second-up ran on from midfield and scored a big 3.5 len win at Grafton on February 19 over 5f defeating Archie Maximus carrying 130lbs at $2.80. In career best form and will prove hard to beat. 2nd Pick 1 Rich Star Jockey: Liberty Smyth Trainer: Chris Manson J: Liberty Smyth T: Chris Manson	163	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Second-up. First-up after three months held ground to the line 2nd of 10 in a Bm66 at Grafton on August 18 over 5f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Dance Gavin Dance carrying 133lbs at $6.50. Previously second-up ran on from midfield and scored a big 3.5 len win at Grafton on February 19 over 5f defeating Archie Maximus carrying 130lbs at $2.80. In career best form and will prove hard to beat.
6	Comes here off a 35-day let-up. At the latest run 3rd of 8 in a Bm62 at Gatton on July 30 over 5 ½f, 1.5 len behind Jemeldi with 125lbs at $8. Before that sat on the speed throughout before fading 7th of 13 in a Cl2 at Grafton on July 15 over 5 ½f, 3 len behind Tides Turning carrying 123lbs at $41. Likely to measure up again. 3rd Pick 6 The Rookie Jockey: Grace Palmer Trainer: Gary Nielsen J: Grace Palmer T: Gary Nielsen	92	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Comes here off a 35-day let-up. At the latest run 3rd of 8 in a Bm62 at Gatton on July 30 over 5 ½f, 1.5 len behind Jemeldi with 125lbs at $8. Before that sat on the speed throughout before fading 7th of 13 in a Cl2 at Grafton on July 15 over 5 ½f, 3 len behind Tides Turning carrying 123lbs at $41. Likely to measure up again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.