AU - Coffs Harbour - Race 5

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Class 1

Turf

SOFT 6

19.3K

VIEW

Verdict

CRATHIE KIRK (10) went close first-up, heavily bet, and the money came again at Newcastle, following where she was beaten a head over 7 ½f. She is still shy of her best number and back in country grade she rates to have them covered. CERTIFY (5) won a Gold Coast Maiden over 1 ¹/16m first-up as a $2.2F. Proven second-up, and he also has plenty of scope for improvement. With average luck from the awkward gate, he should be right in it. HIGHWIRE GIRL (11) led into the straight beaten 1.75 lengths over 7f at Grafton, second-up. She will be fitter and led beaten a whisker there over 1m before the spell. Fitter again and JVO will give her every chance. DIVINE EFFORT (2) raced forward and won her Maiden in good style over 1 ¹/16m at Grafton. She will use the inside gate and keeps the handy 4lbs claim. This is a step up, but she has a future.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming 3rd of 9 at Port Macquarie F&M Cl1 on March 24 over 6f, slow going 1.4 len behind Shoutaboutit carrying 129lbs at $1.80. Second-up 3rd of 8 at Newcastle Prov Cl1 on April 11 over 7 ½f, head behind Bondi Blossom with 120lbs at $2.50. Big chance. 1st Pick 10 Crathie Kirk Jockey: Benjamin Osmond Trainer: Kris Lees J: Benjamin Osmond T: Kris Lees	165	-	-	-	48%	11/10
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming 3rd of 9 at Port Macquarie F&M Cl1 on March 24 over 6f, slow going 1.4 len behind Shoutaboutit carrying 129lbs at $1.80. Second-up 3rd of 8 at Newcastle Prov Cl1 on April 11 over 7 ½f, head behind Bondi Blossom with 120lbs at $2.50. Big chance.
5	Third-up today. First-up 7th of 12 at Sunshine Coast 3yo Mdn on March 29 over 7f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Clive's Glory with 131lbs at $5.50. Second-up favourite, won by 0.9 len at Gold Coast Mdn April 10 over 1 ¹/16m defeating Tszyuya carrying 130lbs at $2.20. Can go on with it. 2nd Pick 5 Certify Jockey: Danny Peisley Trainer: Paul Shailer J: Danny Peisley T: Paul Shailer	118	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 7th of 12 at Sunshine Coast 3yo Mdn on March 29 over 7f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Clive's Glory with 131lbs at $5.50. Second-up favourite, won by 0.9 len at Gold Coast Mdn April 10 over 1 ¹/16m defeating Tszyuya carrying 130lbs at $2.20. Can go on with it.
11	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 11 at Grafton Ctry Cl1 on March 15 over 5f, 1.2 len behind Rich Star with 125lbs at $17. Second-up did the work up front then tired 5th of 10 at Grafton Ctry Cl1 on March 30 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Xtreme carrying 123lbs at $6.50. One of the better players. 3rd Pick 11 Highwire Girl Jockey: Jean Van Overmeire Trainer: John Shelton J: Jean Van Overmeire T: John Shelton	91	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 11 at Grafton Ctry Cl1 on March 15 over 5f, 1.2 len behind Rich Star with 125lbs at $17. Second-up did the work up front then tired 5th of 10 at Grafton Ctry Cl1 on March 30 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Xtreme carrying 123lbs at $6.50. One of the better players.

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