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4:15 AM

AU - Coffs Harbour - Race 4

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
7f
Class 1
Turf
HEAVY 10
18.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CALVARY (6) was narrowly beaten in consecutive runs before tiring late in a disappointing performance over the mile at Ballina last Sunday. Draws the fence and won't mind the step back in trip. Can bounce back in a moderate affair. LOLITA (3) was a month between runs when a respectable fourth last time out over 6f at Grafton. Has been tried twice at this distance and failed but those runs came at the end of last prep. Well in on 55kgs and should be right there at the business end. ADEQUATE EZE (1) came with a sustained run from well before the turn to win his maiden last start over 6f at Grafton. Ran a couple of nice races over this distance when last in work. Well placed to keep the ball rolling. THE COMANCHE (4) has mixed his form this prep, with the best effort a second two back on heavy ground over 7 ½f at Port Macquarie. In the mix with a similar performance today. BRAIN WAVE (2) can surprise fresh from an eight-week let-up.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Calvary silk

Most recently sat on the speed throughout before fading 7th of 9 at Ballina Cl1 on June 21 over 1m, in the wet, 6 len behind Ourlegseleven carrying 115lbs at $3.30. The run before that 2nd of 7 at Murwillumbah Cl1-Sw on June 8 over 7 ¾f, on rain affected going, 0.6 len behind Sinatra with 123lbs at $13. Capable on his day and is worth another chance on a seven-day back-up.

1st Pick
6

Calvary

Jockey: Unknown Jockey

Trainer: Maryann Brosnan

J: Unknown Jockey

T: Maryann Brosnan

175---15%6/1

Analysis

Most recently sat on the speed throughout before fading 7th of 9 at Ballina Cl1 on June 21 over 1m, in the wet, 6 len behind Ourlegseleven carrying 115lbs at $3.30. The run before that 2nd of 7 at Murwillumbah Cl1-Sw on June 8 over 7 ¾f, on rain affected going, 0.6 len behind Sinatra with 123lbs at $13. Capable on his day and is worth another chance on a seven-day back-up.

3
Lolita silk

Form hard to fault. Last start 4th of 14 at Grafton Bm58 on June 6 over 6f, slow going 2.25 len behind Enhance carrying 123lbs at $8.50. The race before that 3rd of 10 at this track F&M Bm58 on May 8 over 6f, on heavy track, 2.5 len behind Wanjina Rose with 128lbs at $5.50. Racing well and can win this without surprising.

2nd Pick
3

Lolita

Jockey: Raymond Spokes

Trainer: David Matts

J: Raymond Spokes

T: David Matts

88---23%7/2

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Last start 4th of 14 at Grafton Bm58 on June 6 over 6f, slow going 2.25 len behind Enhance carrying 123lbs at $8.50. The race before that 3rd of 10 at this track F&M Bm58 on May 8 over 6f, on heavy track, 2.5 len behind Wanjina Rose with 128lbs at $5.50. Racing well and can win this without surprising.

1
Adequate Eze silk

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 4th of 9 at Port Macquarie Ctry Mdn on May 18 over 6f, on heavy track, 2 len behind Sunstaz carrying 131lbs at $4. Second-up won by 1.75 len at Grafton Mdn-Sw June 6 over 6f in soft going defeating Steady On carrying 130lbs at $3.50. Capable of taking the next step now.

3rd Pick
1

Adequate Eze

Jockey: Justin P Stanley

Trainer: David Campbell

J: Justin P Stanley

T: David Campbell

117---34%2/1

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 4th of 9 at Port Macquarie Ctry Mdn on May 18 over 6f, on heavy track, 2 len behind Sunstaz carrying 131lbs at $4. Second-up won by 1.75 len at Grafton Mdn-Sw June 6 over 6f in soft going defeating Steady On carrying 130lbs at $3.50. Capable of taking the next step now.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.