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7:19 AM

AU - Cloncurry - Race 8

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
6f
Class 1
Dirt
GOOD
17.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

HEATHCLIFF (1) brings the most reliable profile, with one win and three placings from five starts and a sound second to Street Force at Scone despite jumping awkwardly and copping contact near the 1 ½f. The return to 6f suits his record and he may take beating. DAY TO REMEMBER (6) is the main danger through consistency rather than brilliance, he was only beaten just over a length by Lilii Borea at McKinlay, gets meaningful weight relief from that run and has placed regularly at this distance. ANDERS KISS (11) is better than the last-start margin at Ewan after racing wide and keenly in BM65 grade, while her Birdsville second in Class 2 company had merit after a slow start and a held-up run. CHAMPONNET (2) returned to form when third in a BM55 at Kilcoy and is eased back from provincial company, though the wide draw leaves him looking more a place threat.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Heathcliff silk

Returns from a five-week let-up after finishing second at Scone over 7f, beaten two and a half lengths by Street Force as favourite after beginning awkwardly and making contact near the 1 ½f. He was also close enough in a CG Benchmark 58 at Gunnedah two back, and his overall record of one win and three placings from five starts reads strongly. Back to a suitable 6f and his five-start record gives him the strongest winning case.

1st Pick
1

Heathcliff

Jockey: Paul Hamblin

Trainer: Lachie Manzelmann

J: Paul Hamblin

T: Lachie Manzelmann

155---31%9/4

Analysis

Returns from a five-week let-up after finishing second at Scone over 7f, beaten two and a half lengths by Street Force as favourite after beginning awkwardly and making contact near the 1 ½f. He was also close enough in a CG Benchmark 58 at Gunnedah two back, and his overall record of one win and three placings from five starts reads strongly. Back to a suitable 6f and his five-start record gives him the strongest winning case.

6
Day To Remember silk

Resumes off a six-week freshening after finishing third to Lilii Borea in a Class B at McKinlay, beaten just over a length after jumping awkwardly. He was close enough again at Longreach two back in a Benchmark 50, and the drop from 137lbs to 131lbs is a genuine help. Consistent recent profile makes him a major threat.

2nd Pick
6

Day To Remember

Jockey: Chris Whiteley

Trainer: Mark Oates

J: Chris Whiteley

T: Mark Oates

117---10%9/1

Analysis

Resumes off a six-week freshening after finishing third to Lilii Borea in a Class B at McKinlay, beaten just over a length after jumping awkwardly. He was close enough again at Longreach two back in a Benchmark 50, and the drop from 137lbs to 131lbs is a genuine help. Consistent recent profile makes him a major threat.

11
Anders Kiss silk

Had excuses when fourth in a Benchmark 65 at Ewan, racing wide and keenly before finishing just over six lengths from Miss Shu. Her previous Class 2 second at Birdsville was better than it reads, as she began slowly, was held up in the straight and still closed to within a length and a half of Forever A Diamond. Back in grade and right in the winning mix.

3rd Pick
11

Anders Kiss

Jockey: Adam Sewell

Trainer: Lachie Manzelmann

J: Adam Sewell

T: Lachie Manzelmann

102---13%7/1

Analysis

Had excuses when fourth in a Benchmark 65 at Ewan, racing wide and keenly before finishing just over six lengths from Miss Shu. Her previous Class 2 second at Birdsville was better than it reads, as she began slowly, was held up in the straight and still closed to within a length and a half of Forever A Diamond. Back in grade and right in the winning mix.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.