AU - Cloncurry - Race 7

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Quality Handicap

Dirt

GOOD

12.2K

VIEW

Verdict

I'M ZAC (5) is bursting to win after two sound Open placings, the latest a Longreach third when beaten just under a length after beginning awkwardly and laying in. His record around 5f is strong enough to make the shorter trip a positive and he can feature. NAPOLEON STRIKE (3) brings very reliable recent form, with close thirds at Townsville and Mt Isa, and the drop to 123lbs gives him a genuine chance to turn those placings into a win. COCHRANE (4) was only just denied at Ewan and has the most persuasive track-and-distance profile among the main hopes, though barrier 10 leaves him with more to overcome. CONTEMPORARY (1) was well held as favourite at Mt Isa, but his Mackay 3yo+ Class 6 win two back and proven 5f record keep him in the mix for a placing.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Comes off two solid Open placings and looks well placed to convert. He was beaten just under a length at Longreach last start after beginning awkwardly and laying in, then had earlier run third at Emerald with some market support. Looks the one they have to beat. 1st Pick 5 I'm Zac Jockey: Robert Faehr Trainer: Henry Forster J: Robert Faehr T: Henry Forster	108	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Comes off two solid Open placings and looks well placed to convert. He was beaten just under a length at Longreach last start after beginning awkwardly and laying in, then had earlier run third at Emerald with some market support. Looks the one they have to beat.
3	Has been holding his form well, finishing third in Open company at Mt Isa last start when beaten a length and a half after again being rated only an outside chance in betting. His Townsville third behind Master Montaro was also strong, beaten just over a length after travelling well. Strong winning chance at 5f. 2nd Pick 3 Napoleon Strike Jockey: William Galloway Trainer: Tanya Parry J: William Galloway T: Tanya Parry	103	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Has been holding his form well, finishing third in Open company at Mt Isa last start when beaten a length and a half after again being rated only an outside chance in betting. His Townsville third behind Master Montaro was also strong, beaten just over a length after travelling well. Strong winning chance at 5f.
4	Went very close at Ewan last start, finishing second as favourite when beaten just over half a length after being poised to win on the turn. His Birdsville third prior had merit too, with stewards noting he was steadied and held up late. Wide draw is the query, but he rates highly. 3rd Pick 4 Cochrane Jockey: Adam Sewell Trainer: Lachie Manzelmann J: Adam Sewell T: Lachie Manzelmann	122	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Went very close at Ewan last start, finishing second as favourite when beaten just over half a length after being poised to win on the turn. His Birdsville third prior had merit too, with stewards noting he was steadied and held up late. Wide draw is the query, but he rates highly.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.