AU - Cloncurry - Race 4

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Benchmark

Dirt

GOOD

11.9K

VIEW

Verdict

VALIANT JOAN (9) brings the most reliable recent profile, having beaten Holy Holy Holy in a BM50 at Longreach after fighting hard, and she had already been beaten just under two lengths in BM60 company at Aramac. Her season record reads strongly and she is proven enough around 5f to be the one they have to get past. DANCE WIZZARD (3) is the main danger, with his Mt Isa second given extra merit by racing wide throughout, while his record at this track and distance keeps him right in the contest. LEUCAENA (10) has been beaten just over six lengths in both recent Class B runs, but her two placings from three attempts at this track and distance give her a genuine place base if she sharpens up. WITHOUT (8) comes through a stronger BM60 line, beaten a neck as favourite at Richmond Qld, and her consistency over the past 12 months gives her solid claims.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Comes off a deserved Longreach win in a Benchmark 50, sitting behind the leaders before fighting hard to beat Holy Holy Holy by a nose. That followed a strong Benchmark 60 third at Aramac when well-supported favourite, so the form line has more substance than the narrow margin suggests. Consistent, fit and sets the benchmark. 1st Pick 9 Valiant Joan Jockey: Robert Faehr Trainer: Henry Forster J: Robert Faehr T: Henry Forster	170	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Comes off a deserved Longreach win in a Benchmark 50, sitting behind the leaders before fighting hard to beat Holy Holy Holy by a nose. That followed a strong Benchmark 60 third at Aramac when well-supported favourite, so the form line has more substance than the narrow margin suggests. Consistent, fit and sets the benchmark.
3	Returns from a two-month freshening after a solid second at Mt Isa, beaten just over three lengths by Groove Jet despite racing wide throughout and laying in late. Two back he was safely held in a Benchmark 50 at Corfield, but he has won at this track and has a strong 5f record. Blinkers go on and he looks a strong danger. 2nd Pick 3 Dance Wizzard Jockey: William Galloway Trainer: Tanya Parry J: William Galloway T: Tanya Parry	83	-	-	-	7%	14/1
Analysis Returns from a two-month freshening after a solid second at Mt Isa, beaten just over three lengths by Groove Jet despite racing wide throughout and laying in late. Two back he was safely held in a Benchmark 50 at Corfield, but he has won at this track and has a strong 5f record. Blinkers go on and he looks a strong danger.
10	Back after six weeks since finishing fifth in a Class B at McKinlay, beaten just over six lengths after jumping awkwardly. She was also sixth in Class B grade at Corfield two back, with another awkward beginning, so recent race form is not strong. In the mix. 3rd Pick 10 Leucaena Jockey: Unknown Jockey Trainer: Tanya Parry J: Unknown Jockey T: Tanya Parry	62	-	-	-	7%	15/1
Analysis Back after six weeks since finishing fifth in a Class B at McKinlay, beaten just over six lengths after jumping awkwardly. She was also sixth in Class B grade at Corfield two back, with another awkward beginning, so recent race form is not strong. In the mix.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.