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8:00 AM

AU - Canterbury - Race 8

Thoroughbred
20 Runners
9.4f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
43.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Tricky race to end the night. LUNAR LOVER (10) lightly raced stayer heading in the right direction third-up. Ready for the 1 ³/16m now after chipping away late with the 132lbs when fifth over 1m at Warwick Farm. Gets map favours and will take holding out. LIBERTY PARK (3) back in grade and at his top for this. Will appreciate Grima's 7lbs claim and doesn't have to improve much after finishing a narrow third over this course and distance at latest. No excuses from the low draw. PLACID PEARL (11) form hard to fault and has her hoof on the till. Will need a good run from the awkward barrier after she gripped on late with a tidy third over 1 ?m at Warwick Farm. Each way contender. FORBIDDEN RIFF (2) is chasing his third straight victory tonight but doesn't get the same map favours as last start. Well in with Roper's claim and not to be underestimated.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
10
Lunar Lover silk

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 3rd of 9 at Gosford Bm64 on December 4 over 1m, long-neck behind Cloisters with 130lbs at $8.50. Last start 5th of 11 at Warwick Farm 5yo+ Bm64 on December 17 over 1m, 3 len behind Ivan's Hero carrying 132lbs at $3.10. Should be ready to show his best. Set to peak from the good gate, go close.

1st Pick
10

Lunar Lover

Jockey: Ashley Morgan

Trainer: Matthew Smith

J: Ashley Morgan

T: Matthew Smith

125---16%11/2

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 3rd of 9 at Gosford Bm64 on December 4 over 1m, long-neck behind Cloisters with 130lbs at $8.50. Last start 5th of 11 at Warwick Farm 5yo+ Bm64 on December 17 over 1m, 3 len behind Ivan's Hero carrying 132lbs at $3.10. Should be ready to show his best. Set to peak from the good gate, go close.

3
Liberty Park silk

Most recently ran on from midfield, 3rd of 10 at this track Bm72 on December 12 over 1 ³/16m, 1.5 len behind Happiness carrying 127lbs at $26. Before that got back early 7th of 9 at Gosford Bm64 on December 4 over 1m, 5 len behind Cloisters with 130lbs at $31. Not far away last time. Maps well again and will prove hard to hold out.

2nd Pick
3

Liberty Park

Jockey: Siena Grima

Trainer: Chris Waller

J: Siena Grima

T: Chris Waller

122---9%11/1

Analysis

Most recently ran on from midfield, 3rd of 10 at this track Bm72 on December 12 over 1 ³/16m, 1.5 len behind Happiness carrying 127lbs at $26. Before that got back early 7th of 9 at Gosford Bm64 on December 4 over 1m, 5 len behind Cloisters with 130lbs at $31. Not far away last time. Maps well again and will prove hard to hold out.

11
Placid Pearl silk

Form hard to fault. At the latest run 3rd of 12 at Warwick Farm Bm64 on December 17 over 1m, 2 len behind Sting In The Tail with 129lbs at $3.30. The start before that 3rd of 9 at this track Bm64 on November 19 over 1 ³/16m, 1.2 len behind Horizons with 129lbs at $2.70. Due for a change of luck but the map looks ugly, each way.

3rd Pick
11

Placid Pearl

Jockey: Winona Costin

Trainer: Matthew Smith

J: Winona Costin

T: Matthew Smith

91---10%10/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. At the latest run 3rd of 12 at Warwick Farm Bm64 on December 17 over 1m, 2 len behind Sting In The Tail with 129lbs at $3.30. The start before that 3rd of 9 at this track Bm64 on November 19 over 1 ³/16m, 1.2 len behind Horizons with 129lbs at $2.70. Due for a change of luck but the map looks ugly, each way.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.