AU - Canterbury - Race 6

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

6.2f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

42.0K

VIEW

Verdict

RIMBAUD (4) drops back a trip after battling away to finish second over 7f at the Farm three weeks ago. Has been in the money at six of nine runs at or around today's distance. Should race handy and give a good account again. SILENCIO PORFAVOR (10) stepped up to Saturday grade and was only beaten 1.6 lengths last time out over 6f at Rosehill. Beautifully drawn and gets in nicely after Grima's claim. Poses a serious threat. UNSTOPABULL (12) misses the kick every time which makes life tough. Closed well but it was too little too late last start over 6f here. Sure to be running on again. SNACK BAR (1) twice placed at Group 3 level as a younger horse but cannot recapture that glory. Loomed to win but couldn't finish the job at Rosehill last time. Must be considered dropping back to this level. OAKFIELD NEPTUNE (8) didn't feature at Randwick last start over 5 ½f. Best form comes at this trip so she is capable of turning things around.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Recent form sound. Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at Warwick Farm Bm72 on July 15 over 7f, 2 len behind Dusty Bay with 126lbs at $16. The race before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.5 len at Wyong Bm64 July 4 over 6 ¾f on a rain affected track defeating Fabrice with 130lbs at $5.50. Going well and is a decent chance at odds. 1st Pick 4 Rimbaud Jockey: Mollie Fitzgerald Trainer: Annabel & Rob Archibald J: Mollie Fitzgerald T: Annabel & Rob Archibald	125	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at Warwick Farm Bm72 on July 15 over 7f, 2 len behind Dusty Bay with 126lbs at $16. The race before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.5 len at Wyong Bm64 July 4 over 6 ¾f on a rain affected track defeating Fabrice with 130lbs at $5.50. Going well and is a decent chance at odds.
10	Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 10 at Rosehill Cg&E Bm78 on July 18 over 6f, on a wet track, 1.5 len behind Columbia Blue carrying 119lbs at $14. The start before that came from midfield and won by 3.5 len at Newcastle Bm64 June 27 over 6f in soft going defeating Ouragan with 125lbs at $6.50. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance. 2nd Pick 10 Silencio Porfavor Jockey: Siena Grima Trainer: Matthew Smith J: Siena Grima T: Matthew Smith	99	-	-	-	7%	15/1
Analysis Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 10 at Rosehill Cg&E Bm78 on July 18 over 6f, on a wet track, 1.5 len behind Columbia Blue carrying 119lbs at $14. The start before that came from midfield and won by 3.5 len at Newcastle Bm64 June 27 over 6f in soft going defeating Ouragan with 125lbs at $6.50. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance.
12	At the latest run ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 9 at this track Bm72 on July 22 over 6f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Watson carrying 127lbs at $5.50. The start before that got back early 5th of 9 at this track Bm72 on July 8 over 6 ¼f, on rain affected going, 2 len behind Astronomix with 128lbs at $6. Usually his own worst enemy - each-way shout. 3rd Pick 12 Unstopabull Jockey: Sam Clipperton Trainer: Chris Waller J: Sam Clipperton T: Chris Waller	138	-	-	-	6%	18/1
Analysis At the latest run ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 9 at this track Bm72 on July 22 over 6f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Watson carrying 127lbs at $5.50. The start before that got back early 5th of 9 at this track Bm72 on July 8 over 6 ¼f, on rain affected going, 2 len behind Astronomix with 128lbs at $6. Usually his own worst enemy - each-way shout.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.