AU - Canterbury - Race 5

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

7.7f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

41.1K

VIEW

Verdict

VALOROUS POWER (2) made up good ground when resuming at Scone over 1m, finishing runner-up in a decent field there 3 weeks ago. The query for us is the slight drop in trip from 1m to 7 ¾f, but he will be sharper and could just be too good for this lot. LUSKAIRE (1) is a very capable gelding at this level, and he resumes from a spell with a couple of solid trials under his belt. He usually needs a run, but he is top weight for a reason, and must be respected. BELLEISTIC KIDS (5) can mix his form, and he will find this easier than his last couple of starts in town. He is nicely placed after a 4lbs claim, and can bounce back into the top 4 here. ME ME (8) has raced her way into form, and she drops 10lbs for this with a step up in class. A nice swing in her draw will help, and she is a top 4 player again. SATNESS (4) finished fifth in the Little Dance at Randwick last start, and that form will stand up in this easier assignment. Stick with him on an each-way basis.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Dual acceptor. Second-up. First-up after four months ran on from midfield, 2nd of 7 in a Bm82 at Scone on October 23 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Nova Centauri carrying 134lbs at $2.60. Previously second-up 6th of 9 in a Bm78 at Randwick Kensington on May 13 over 7f, 6 len behind Theblade with 128lbs at $101. Among the leading chances. 1st Pick 2 Valorous Power Jockey: Tim Clark Trainer: Kris Lees J: Tim Clark T: Kris Lees	86	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Dual acceptor. Second-up. First-up after four months ran on from midfield, 2nd of 7 in a Bm82 at Scone on October 23 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Nova Centauri carrying 134lbs at $2.60. Previously second-up 6th of 9 in a Bm78 at Randwick Kensington on May 13 over 7f, 6 len behind Theblade with 128lbs at $101. Among the leading chances.
1	Gelding back from a spell of four months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation when last of 11 at Randwick Bm88 July 11 over 1m, in the wet, 15 len behind Tazima carrying 115lbs at $8. Previously first up, ran last of 10 at Hawkesbury Bm78 April 8 over 6 ½f, 5.5 len behind Spione carrying 129lbs at $17. Expect a forward showing. 2nd Pick 1 Luskaire Jockey: Mollie Fitzgerald Trainer: Annabel & Rob Archibald J: Mollie Fitzgerald T: Annabel & Rob Archibald	119	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Gelding back from a spell of four months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation when last of 11 at Randwick Bm88 July 11 over 1m, in the wet, 15 len behind Tazima carrying 115lbs at $8. Previously first up, ran last of 10 at Hawkesbury Bm78 April 8 over 6 ½f, 5.5 len behind Spione carrying 129lbs at $17. Expect a forward showing.
5	Last start 6th of 10 in a 5yo+ Bm88 at Randwick on November 3 over 7 ½f, 5.5 len behind Man Of Worth with 112lbs at $16. The race before that sat on the pace before fading 7th of 9 in the Big Dance Wild Card at Randwick on October 17 over 1m, slow going 7 len behind It's A Knockout carrying 110lbs at $61. Another bold run is expected. 3rd Pick 5 Belleistic Kids Jockey: Siena Grima Trainer: B Joseph & P & M Jones J: Siena Grima T: B Joseph & P & M Jones	156	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Last start 6th of 10 in a 5yo+ Bm88 at Randwick on November 3 over 7 ½f, 5.5 len behind Man Of Worth with 112lbs at $16. The race before that sat on the pace before fading 7th of 9 in the Big Dance Wild Card at Randwick on October 17 over 1m, slow going 7 len behind It's A Knockout carrying 110lbs at $61. Another bold run is expected.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.