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9:00 AM

AU - Canterbury - Race 5

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
6.2f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 6
53.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SLINKY (1) improved sharply last start at the second run back from a spell, battling on well to be beaten under two lengths over 6f at Wyong (metro). Strips fitter and this is a significant drop in grade. Looks ready to win a pretty ordinary race. SUPER BRIGHT (3) was an alarming drifter and ran accordingly on Boxing Day at Randwick. That followed a close sixth in Saturday company over 6 ½f at Rosehill two back. Cherry-ripe after three runs back and if on-song she is good enough to win this. PRETTY TAVI (7) returns from a ten-week spell. In the money at four of six first-up runs, including a couple of wins. Nicely weighted and draws a good gate so plenty to like about her prospects. SMILING PROPHET (5) was run off her legs over 5f at Warwick Farm most recently. Unplaced at all seven runs at or around this trip but a nice fourth two back over 6f at Wyong is decent form for a race of this quality. RINGAROSA (2) goes well when fresh and is right in the mix.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Slinky silk

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming eased back early on 7th of 9 at this track 5yo+ Bm72 on December 19 over 6f, 5 len behind Zulfiqar with 131lbs at $5. Second run from a spell 6th of 8 at Wyong Bm78 on January 10 over 6f, 1.75 len behind No Drama carrying 122lbs at $4.60. Strips fitter and good enough to test this plain field.

1st Pick
1

Slinky

Jockey: Olivia Chambers

Trainer: Bjorn Baker

J: Olivia Chambers

T: Bjorn Baker

156---20%4/1

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming eased back early on 7th of 9 at this track 5yo+ Bm72 on December 19 over 6f, 5 len behind Zulfiqar with 131lbs at $5. Second run from a spell 6th of 8 at Wyong Bm78 on January 10 over 6f, 1.75 len behind No Drama carrying 122lbs at $4.60. Strips fitter and good enough to test this plain field.

3
Super Bright silk

Last start 6th of 9 at Randwick F&M Bm72 on December 26 over 6 ½f, 7 len behind Mamushka with 126lbs at $31. Before that 6th of 12 at Rosehill F&M Bm78 on December 7 over 6 ½f, 1.4 len behind Bella Corazon carrying 125lbs at $19. Can bounce back after a modest effort last time.

2nd Pick
3

Super Bright

Jockey: Dylan Gibbons

Trainer: Nathan Doyle

J: Dylan Gibbons

T: Nathan Doyle

155---14%13/2

Analysis

Last start 6th of 9 at Randwick F&M Bm72 on December 26 over 6 ½f, 7 len behind Mamushka with 126lbs at $31. Before that 6th of 12 at Rosehill F&M Bm78 on December 7 over 6 ½f, 1.4 len behind Bella Corazon carrying 125lbs at $19. Can bounce back after a modest effort last time.

7
Pretty Tavi silk

Mare returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation fifth of 9 at Hawkesbury Mid Bm64 November 8 over 6 ½f, 4 len behind Probability Theory carrying 119lbs at $6.50. First up last campaign third of 12 at Rosehill Midway Bm72 June 28 over 6 ½f, 0.8 len behind Rolling Magic with 118lbs at $8.50. Good fresh performer who looks sure to be thereabouts.

3rd Pick
7

Pretty Tavi

Jockey: Zac Lloyd

Trainer: Jack Pilkington

J: Zac Lloyd

T: Jack Pilkington

92---19%9/2

Analysis

Mare returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation fifth of 9 at Hawkesbury Mid Bm64 November 8 over 6 ½f, 4 len behind Probability Theory carrying 119lbs at $6.50. First up last campaign third of 12 at Rosehill Midway Bm72 June 28 over 6 ½f, 0.8 len behind Rolling Magic with 118lbs at $8.50. Good fresh performer who looks sure to be thereabouts.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.