AU - Canterbury - Race 4

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

9.4f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

41.1K

VIEW

Verdict

KOOLIBAH (3) hit the line powerfully fresh up over 7 ¾f, and then was a bold third over 1 ¼m in metro company at Randwick nearly 2 weeks ago. JMac is back in the saddle, and she will be peaking third up, which, with the drop in class, makes her the one to beat. BEARINGS (5) improved sharply second up when put over 1 ?m, finishing on late to finish less than a length from the winner in second place. She drops 10lbs with the rise in class, but she has plenty more to offer, and can figure in the top 3 again. VALOROUS POWER (2) overcame a bungled start to run on late for second fresh up in a decent field at Scone 3 weeks ago. He will enjoy the 1 ³/16m, and with the right map from a good draw, he should go close to taking this out. COSMIC LAD (1) is dropping back in class third up from a spell, and an extra 2f will make a lot of difference for this capable gelding. A form reversal is expected. MY CARTOUCHE (7) missed the kick last start and did not recover. She is worth another chance.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up came home strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 9 in a 5yo+ Bm72 at Randwick Kensington on September 9 over 7 ¾f, 1.2 len behind Darn Cute with 128lbs at $6.50. Second-up 3rd in a small field in a Bm78 at Randwick on October 31 over 1 ¼m, 2 len behind Columbus with 115lbs at $3.80. Expected to go very well. 1st Pick 3 Koolibah Jockey: James Mcdonald Trainer: Chris Waller J: James Mcdonald T: Chris Waller	186	-	-	-	56%	4/5
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up came home strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 9 in a 5yo+ Bm72 at Randwick Kensington on September 9 over 7 ¾f, 1.2 len behind Darn Cute with 128lbs at $6.50. Second-up 3rd in a small field in a Bm78 at Randwick on October 31 over 1 ¼m, 2 len behind Columbus with 115lbs at $3.80. Expected to go very well.
5	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming ran second last of 9 in a 5yo+ Bm64 at Newcastle on October 6 over 7 ½f, 8 len behind Great Idea with 128lbs at $11. Last start 2nd of 9 in a Mid Bm64 at Hawkesbury on October 27 over 1m, 0.7 len behind Malbork Castle with 128lbs at $11. Has the ability to be in the finish. 2nd Pick 5 Bearings Jockey: Siena Grima Trainer: John Sargent J: Siena Grima T: John Sargent	119	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming ran second last of 9 in a 5yo+ Bm64 at Newcastle on October 6 over 7 ½f, 8 len behind Great Idea with 128lbs at $11. Last start 2nd of 9 in a Mid Bm64 at Hawkesbury on October 27 over 1m, 0.7 len behind Malbork Castle with 128lbs at $11. Has the ability to be in the finish.
2	Dual acceptor. Second-up. First-up after four months raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 7 in a Bm82 at Scone on October 23 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Nova Centauri with 134lbs at $2.60. Previously second-up 6th of 9 in a Bm78 at Randwick Kensington on May 13 over 7f, 6 len behind Theblade carrying 128lbs at $101. Strips fitter and is an excellent winning chance. 3rd Pick 2 Valorous Power Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Kris Lees J: Non Runner T: Kris Lees	98	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Dual acceptor. Second-up. First-up after four months raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 7 in a Bm82 at Scone on October 23 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Nova Centauri with 134lbs at $2.60. Previously second-up 6th of 9 in a Bm78 at Randwick Kensington on May 13 over 7f, 6 len behind Theblade carrying 128lbs at $101. Strips fitter and is an excellent winning chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.