AU - Canterbury - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

39.1K

VIEW

Verdict

Open affair. MOTHER GOOSE (8) found the lead a fair way from home and tried hard but found one better when resuming over this trip at Wyong last start. Has come back in fine shape under new trainer Gary Portelli and should give backers a great sight. Honest mare TEQUILA BABY (3) returned from a seven-month spell with a close second over 5f at Kembla last time out. Needs a shrewd ride from Nock out of the wide gate but she can muster early doors. Untried in town but looks up to the task. MASTER OF DISGUISE (1) was a month between runs when she led but just failed to hang on in open company at Albury recently. Strips fitter and will find this easier so keep her in mind. New O'Shea/Charlton acquisition BOOMING BIANCA (4) returns from a five-month spell. Has raced first-up twice for two wins. Two recent trials will have her ready to run well. INDEFENSIBLE (9) last raced 21 weeks ago. Will be better for this outing but the stable is flying so keep her safe.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Second-up. First-up after five months held ground to the line 2nd of 8 at Wyong F&M Cl1 on October 30 over 6f, 1.5 len behind My Bella Vista carrying 130lbs at $4.20. Previously second-up 5th of 7 at this track F&M Mdn-Sw on April 21 over 5 ½f, 5 len behind Silver Wedding with 127lbs at $8. Finds a nice race and will be tough to catch in a race of many chances. 1st Pick 8 Mother Goose Jockey: Tommy Berry Trainer: Gary Portelli J: Tommy Berry T: Gary Portelli	128	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after five months held ground to the line 2nd of 8 at Wyong F&M Cl1 on October 30 over 6f, 1.5 len behind My Bella Vista carrying 130lbs at $4.20. Previously second-up 5th of 7 at this track F&M Mdn-Sw on April 21 over 5 ½f, 5 len behind Silver Wedding with 127lbs at $8. Finds a nice race and will be tough to catch in a race of many chances.
3	Racing second-up today. Last run 2nd of 8 at Kembla Grange Bm64 on November 4 over 5f, head behind Fourth Spargo carrying 128lbs at $5. At only start last preparation tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2 len at Hawkesbury 3yo Bm64 April 9 over 5 ½f defeating Couples Retreat carrying 117lbs at $8. Genuine mare who is a big chance but will need a bit of luck from the wide gate. 2nd Pick 3 Tequila Baby Jockey: Braith Nock Trainer: Brad Widdup J: Braith Nock T: Brad Widdup	149	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Racing second-up today. Last run 2nd of 8 at Kembla Grange Bm64 on November 4 over 5f, head behind Fourth Spargo carrying 128lbs at $5. At only start last preparation tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2 len at Hawkesbury 3yo Bm64 April 9 over 5 ½f defeating Couples Retreat carrying 117lbs at $8. Genuine mare who is a big chance but will need a bit of luck from the wide gate.
1	Most recently tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 9 at Albury Twilight Bm86 on November 7 over 5f, 0.5 len behind Zethus with 115lbs at $2.45. The start before that did the work up front then tired 6th of 9 at Randwick Kensington F&M Bm72 on October 8 over 6 ¼f, 4 len behind Rubi's Serve with 129lbs at $9. Big chance with a repeat of the latest effort. 3rd Pick 1 Master Of Disguise Jockey: Siena Grima Trainer: Danielle Seib J: Siena Grima T: Danielle Seib	181	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Most recently tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 9 at Albury Twilight Bm86 on November 7 over 5f, 0.5 len behind Zethus with 115lbs at $2.45. The start before that did the work up front then tired 6th of 9 at Randwick Kensington F&M Bm72 on October 8 over 6 ¼f, 4 len behind Rubi's Serve with 129lbs at $9. Big chance with a repeat of the latest effort.

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