AU - Canterbury - Race 3

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

6.2f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

71.6K

VIEW

Verdict

GRAFFITI TYCOON (3) brought sharp trials to Warwick Farm on debut and impressed, narrowly beaten as a $2.7F. Is still new and didn't get it easy. Is sure to have taken fitness and learning, and Lloyd stays aboard the gelding, and the inside gate should advantage. Can go one better. LOERA (11) just missed as a $2.4F at Rosehill on debut, coming off two metro trial wins. Will be sharper today and will likely push forward. Will get every chance to make amends. A gap then to KAWERAU (4), who started at big odds on debut but ran a bold race, beaten 1.5 lengths over 6f at Rosehill. He'd been well educated and hit the line. JMac replaces Lloyd, and he goes into the trifectas at least. Ditto IN A TIZZY (10), who races forward and has scope for further improvement. Comes back to a shorter sprint and maps well.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Was well-supported at debut, 2nd of 10 at Warwick Farm Super 3yo Mdn-Sw on April 1 over 6 ½f, slow going 0.7 len behind Mr Miller with 126lbs at $2.70. Promising and can go one better. 1st Pick 3 Graffiti Tycoon Jockey: Zac Lloyd Trainer: Tom Charlton J: Zac Lloyd T: Tom Charlton	160	-	-	-	50%	1/1
Analysis Was well-supported at debut, 2nd of 10 at Warwick Farm Super 3yo Mdn-Sw on April 1 over 6 ½f, slow going 0.7 len behind Mr Miller with 126lbs at $2.70. Promising and can go one better.
11	Was well-supported at debut, 2nd in a small field at Rosehill 3yo+ MDN-Sw on April 6 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 0.6 len behind Compensation with 125lbs at $2.45. Improver and will go close with the extra fitness. 2nd Pick 11 Loera Jockey: Tim Clark Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott J: Tim Clark T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	130	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Was well-supported at debut, 2nd in a small field at Rosehill 3yo+ MDN-Sw on April 6 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 0.6 len behind Compensation with 125lbs at $2.45. Improver and will go close with the extra fitness.
8	Second run back. First-up after five months 2nd of 7 at Wyong Mdn-Sw on April 4 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, nose behind Tupakara with 125lbs at $2.45. Previously second-up 3rd of 11 at Randwick in the G3 Reg Allen on October 18 over 7f, 2 len behind Panova carrying 123lbs at $7. Has the ability and should be there at the at the business end. 3rd Pick 8 Chatterley Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Chris Waller J: Non Runner T: Chris Waller	146	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Second run back. First-up after five months 2nd of 7 at Wyong Mdn-Sw on April 4 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, nose behind Tupakara with 125lbs at $2.45. Previously second-up 3rd of 11 at Randwick in the G3 Reg Allen on October 18 over 7f, 2 len behind Panova carrying 123lbs at $7. Has the ability and should be there at the at the business end.

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Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.