AU - Canterbury - Race 1

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

9.4f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

39.1K

VIEW

Verdict

SWELTERING (6) has been to the races 12 times for six minor placings, mostly in far better contests than this. Ran on well to beat all but the smart Verona Rose in the rich Inglis Bracelet at Flemington last start. SA Oaks runner-up who on paper has panels on this field - outside her this looks like a provincial maiden. TORMANZOR (8) is the pick of the others after an eye-catching fifth over 1 ?m at Hawkesbury last time out when facing the starter for only the second time. Promising stayer who will be hitting the line hard again. Four-year-old BABYFACED ASSASSIN (1) is improving with racing. Came with a powerful finish but missed the maiden win by inches over 1m at Hawkesbury most recently. Should be peaking at the fourth run back from a spell. COPARTNER PEGASUS (2) led and hung on well for a close fourth, beating Tormanzor home, at Hawkesbury last time. Can run another cheeky race with Clark to pilot. MARCANTONIO (7) looks ready for a first attempt beyond the mile.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	At the latest run made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Flemington Inglis Bracelet on November 6 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Verona Rose carrying 123lbs at $9. The start before that 6th of 13 at Randwick in the G3 Angst on October 18 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Idle Flyer with 119lbs at $21. Has a distinct class edge and should be breaking through. 1st Pick 6 Sweltering Jockey: Tommy Berry Trainer: Chris Waller J: Tommy Berry T: Chris Waller	304	-	-	-	84%	1/5
Analysis At the latest run made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Flemington Inglis Bracelet on November 6 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Verona Rose carrying 123lbs at $9. The start before that 6th of 13 at Randwick in the G3 Angst on October 18 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Idle Flyer with 119lbs at $21. Has a distinct class edge and should be breaking through.
8	Had two starts to date. At very big odds at debut, 5th of 9 at Kembla Grange Cg&E Mdn on October 13 over 7 ½f, 5.5 len behind Savvy Spy with 125lbs at $51. Last start 5th of 11 at Hawkesbury Mdn-Sw on October 28 over 1m, slow going 1.75 len behind Black Babylon with 122lbs at $15. Has ability and is expected to run well again in an even race outside the favourite. 2nd Pick 8 Tormanzor Jockey: Alysha Collett Trainer: Annabel & Rob Archibald J: Alysha Collett T: Annabel & Rob Archibald	89	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Had two starts to date. At very big odds at debut, 5th of 9 at Kembla Grange Cg&E Mdn on October 13 over 7 ½f, 5.5 len behind Savvy Spy with 125lbs at $51. Last start 5th of 11 at Hawkesbury Mdn-Sw on October 28 over 1m, slow going 1.75 len behind Black Babylon with 122lbs at $15. Has ability and is expected to run well again in an even race outside the favourite.
1	Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 8 at Hawkesbury Super Mdn-Sw on November 8 over 1m, nose behind Villa Castina with 126lbs at $31. The race before that 3rd of 8 at Goulburn Mdn on October 16 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Elysium carrying 128lbs at $8.50. Starting to put it together this prep and should feature in the semaphore. 3rd Pick 1 Babyfaced Assassin Jockey: Ashley Morgan Trainer: Gary Portelli J: Ashley Morgan T: Gary Portelli	85	-	-	-	6%	16/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 8 at Hawkesbury Super Mdn-Sw on November 8 over 1m, nose behind Villa Castina with 126lbs at $31. The race before that 3rd of 8 at Goulburn Mdn on October 16 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Elysium carrying 128lbs at $8.50. Starting to put it together this prep and should feature in the semaphore.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.