AU - Canberra - Race 5

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

15.7K

VIEW

Verdict

SEGURO (5) is racing in good order, sitting up front but being reeled in last start at Albury, beaten 1.1L. Draws well again this time and back slightly in trip looks a big tick for him. He was a winner over this trip when leading throughout three starts back, and he can get back to winning ways. IKON PARK (3) looks a very progressive type, showing plenty in a strong form race on debut before a 0.7L victory last time out at Albury. Out in trip looks to suit this son of Prized Icon and Loy sticking is a big tick. Will need some luck from the draw, but he can continue to rise through the grades. ALABAMA HUSSY (4) won well two back before a disappointing effort on soft going at Nowra most recently. Heywood rides now and the win two back stacks up in this field. Won't be far away. VANROSA (15) surprised last start but the figures line up well and she can show it wasn't a fluke. DEEKAYGEEBEE (1) can be thereabouts.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	Form hard to fault. Most recently led but faded 2nd of 7 in a Ctry Bm58 at Albury on August 18 over 7 ½f, on rain affected going, 1.1 len behind Desert Opal with 126lbs at $11. The race before that 3rd of 12 in a Bm58 at Gundagai on August 4 over 5f, slow going 0.5 len behind Riverbend Unicorn carrying 125lbs at $10. Rates highly on his recent form and looks to get a favourable set up today. 1st Pick 5 Seguro Jockey: Teaghan Martin Trainer: Garry Kirkup J: Teaghan Martin T: Garry Kirkup	133	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently led but faded 2nd of 7 in a Ctry Bm58 at Albury on August 18 over 7 ½f, on rain affected going, 1.1 len behind Desert Opal with 126lbs at $11. The race before that 3rd of 12 in a Bm58 at Gundagai on August 4 over 5f, slow going 0.5 len behind Riverbend Unicorn carrying 125lbs at $10. Rates highly on his recent form and looks to get a favourable set up today.
3	Third race start today. At debut, made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 14 in a Ctry Mdn-Sw at Wagga on July 20 over 6f, on heavy track, 2 len behind Our Dandi Angel carrying 130lbs at $11. Second-up favourite, won by 0.7 len at Albury on August 18 over 5f on a heavy track defeating Reds Express carrying 130lbs at $1.80. Exciting gelding on the rise and he can continue his winning ways despite the wide barrier. 2nd Pick 3 Ikon Park Jockey: Brodie Loy Trainer: Gary Colvin J: Brodie Loy T: Gary Colvin	115	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Third race start today. At debut, made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 14 in a Ctry Mdn-Sw at Wagga on July 20 over 6f, on heavy track, 2 len behind Our Dandi Angel carrying 130lbs at $11. Second-up favourite, won by 0.7 len at Albury on August 18 over 5f on a heavy track defeating Reds Express carrying 130lbs at $1.80. Exciting gelding on the rise and he can continue his winning ways despite the wide barrier.
4	Most recently 10th of 12 in a Ctry Bm58 at Nowra on August 10 over 7f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Diamond Frost carrying 131lbs at $8. The start before that ran on from midfield and won by 0.5 len at Bathurst on July 28 over 6 ½f defeating De Joker with 127lbs at $13. She's better than she showed last time and can bounce back. 3rd Pick 4 Alabama Hussy Jockey: Nick Heywood Trainer: Nick Olive J: Nick Heywood T: Nick Olive	172	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Most recently 10th of 12 in a Ctry Bm58 at Nowra on August 10 over 7f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Diamond Frost carrying 131lbs at $8. The start before that ran on from midfield and won by 0.5 len at Bathurst on July 28 over 6 ½f defeating De Joker with 127lbs at $13. She's better than she showed last time and can bounce back.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.