AU - Canberra - Race 1

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

11.2K

VIEW

Verdict

SANTOLINI (6) earns top billing after coming from well back to beat Iconic Rose by just over a length at Wagga Riverside last start. The Nowra run prior in BM58 grade was better than fifth reads, as she began slowly and still picked up late, and this assignment looks well within her range on current form. SHOWTIME MAGGIE (3) is the main danger if she rebounds from a plain BM58 tenth at Moruya, because her previous win at this track was strong and her two wins from four starts at this track and distance are hard to ignore. MERCHANT REIGN (1) resumes from three months off with genuine claims, having won at Canberra Acton two starts ago before a wide, interrupted run when second last there before the break. SLAY QUEEN (7) has been racing in tougher company her past couple and should find this much easier. Can run an improved race third-up into the campaign. THE GLEN (5) won't be far away.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
6	Arrives off the right run, sweeping home from well back to beat Iconic Rose by just over a length at Wagga Riverside. That followed a BM58 fifth at Nowra where she was unwanted in betting, began slowly and still picked up nicely. Prior BM58 run had merit and she brings the strongest recent form. 1st Pick 6 Santolini Jockey: Pierre Boudvillain Trainer: Michael Travers J: Pierre Boudvillain T: Michael Travers	144	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Arrives off the right run, sweeping home from well back to beat Iconic Rose by just over a length at Wagga Riverside. That followed a BM58 fifth at Nowra where she was unwanted in betting, began slowly and still picked up nicely. Prior BM58 run had merit and she brings the strongest recent form.
3	Failed to fire in a BM58 at Moruya last start, settling well back and making no impression when tenth, beaten just over eight lengths as a market chance. The run prior is the key guide: she charged home to beat Inna Zou by half a length at this track. Winning rider returns and the BM58 drop gives her a real chance. 2nd Pick 3 Showtime Maggie Jockey: Glenn Cahill Trainer: Keith Dryden & Libby Snowden J: Glenn Cahill T: Keith Dryden & Libby Snowden	137	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Failed to fire in a BM58 at Moruya last start, settling well back and making no impression when tenth, beaten just over eight lengths as a market chance. The run prior is the key guide: she charged home to beat Inna Zou by half a length at this track. Winning rider returns and the BM58 drop gives her a real chance.
1	Back from a three-month break after a forgivable second-last at Canberra Acton, where he raced wide, lost gear and was checked passing the 1f before finishing beaten just under eight lengths. Before that he led and beat Prophet Time by just under a length at Canberra Acton as favourite. His prior win and track-and-trip record give him a strong winning case. 3rd Pick 1 Merchant Reign Jockey: Amy Mclucas Trainer: Luke Clarke J: Amy Mclucas T: Luke Clarke	88	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Back from a three-month break after a forgivable second-last at Canberra Acton, where he raced wide, lost gear and was checked passing the 1f before finishing beaten just under eight lengths. Before that he led and beat Prophet Time by just under a length at Canberra Acton as favourite. His prior win and track-and-trip record give him a strong winning case.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.