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9:30 AM

AU - Bunbury - Race 7

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
6f
Class 5
Turf
GOOD 4
19.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

UNIVERSAL HOTNESS (6) stuck on well over 5f first-up and landed there without a trial coming in. Sure to be fitter for that performance and out to 6f now looks a good move. He hasn't won in a while, but he's knocking on the door of a drought breaking win and this looks a grand opportunity. LENIENCY (1) will be fitter for a recent trial coming in and boasts a solid fresh record. Turner knows the gelding well and he can land in a good spot from the barrier. Ticks a few boxes today and appears the main danger. THREE GRAND (4) comes here on the fresh side after a narrow win over this track and trip 69 days ago. Not been sighted since then, though she has the speed to roll across from out wide and she rates highly on that effort. Will be hard to run down. RUN PATTIE RUN (5) is better than we saw fresh and can improve. IMAPAGETHREE GIRL (7) looks ready to fire first-up judging by her recent trial.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Universal Hotness silk

Second-up. First-up after five months 5th of 11 at this track Cl5 on November 13 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Universal Playboy with 125lbs at $5. Previously second-up 3rd of 12 at Pinjarra Cl1 on April 16 over 7f, 0.7 len behind Famous Dain with 126lbs at $7. Solid on resumption and this looks to set up nicely for her.

1st Pick
6

Universal Hotness

Jockey: Austin Galati

Trainer: Tim Crosby

J: Austin Galati

T: Tim Crosby

99---20%4/1

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after five months 5th of 11 at this track Cl5 on November 13 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Universal Playboy with 125lbs at $5. Previously second-up 3rd of 12 at Pinjarra Cl1 on April 16 over 7f, 0.7 len behind Famous Dain with 126lbs at $7. Solid on resumption and this looks to set up nicely for her.

1
Leniency silk

Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of five-and-a-half months. Finished off last preparation eighth of 11 at Pinjarra Westspeed Plat June 21 over 7f, on rain affected going, 7 len behind Bartime with 132lbs at $6.50. Previously first up, seventh of 9 at Ascot Rtg 66+ May 10 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Ahyeahrighto carrying 125lbs at $26. Trialled well coming in and can feature on resumption.

2nd Pick
1

Leniency

Jockey: Troy Turner

Trainer: Colin Webster

J: Troy Turner

T: Colin Webster

95---19%9/2

Analysis

Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of five-and-a-half months. Finished off last preparation eighth of 11 at Pinjarra Westspeed Plat June 21 over 7f, on rain affected going, 7 len behind Bartime with 132lbs at $6.50. Previously first up, seventh of 9 at Ascot Rtg 66+ May 10 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Ahyeahrighto carrying 125lbs at $26. Trialled well coming in and can feature on resumption.

4
Three Grand silk

Resumes after a break of ten weeks and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign by nose this track Cl3 September 29 over 6f defeating Rolling Ruler carrying 127lbs at $4.20. First up last campaign second of 9 at Belmont Park Cl3 F&M March 26 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Princess In Red carrying 126lbs at $6.50. Can pick up from where she left off.

3rd Pick
4

Three Grand

Jockey: Madi Derrick

Trainer: Steven Burton

J: Madi Derrick

T: Steven Burton

107---15%6/1

Analysis

Resumes after a break of ten weeks and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign by nose this track Cl3 September 29 over 6f defeating Rolling Ruler carrying 127lbs at $4.20. First up last campaign second of 9 at Belmont Park Cl3 F&M March 26 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Princess In Red carrying 126lbs at $6.50. Can pick up from where she left off.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.