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8:10 AM

AU - Bunbury - Race 5

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
8.3f
Class 1
Turf
SOFT 5
20.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Tricky race. TOSEN IMPACT (3) comes across to the west and debuts for the Ikenushi stable today. His trial coming into this was solid and he has placed first-up in the past. May need some luck from the tricky gate but a forward showing first-up is expected. VENUS KING (1) got a long way back first-up and never really got into the race. Out in trip now looks ideal and Brad Parnham hops on board having won aboard the gelding previously. He's a track and trip winner in the past and a much better effort is on the cards. LYN'S STAR (5) has been back to the trials since her last start over 1 ?m here 19 days ago. Can sit handy from the inside barrier and Cooper claims 4lbs. Can be there when it matters. ANNIE WARBUCKS (2) can improve third-up and out to a more suitable trip. LAKEVIEW LIGHTNING (4) is next best.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Tosen Impact silk

Is first-up after a break of four months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation fourth of 7 at Tatura Bm56 September 30 over 1 ³/16m, a long neck behind Whispering Pharaoh with 134lbs at $5. Makes his debut for the Ikenushi stable and strikes a winnable race.

1st Pick
3

Tosen Impact

Jockey: Holly Nottle

Trainer: Takahide Ikenushi

J: Holly Nottle

T: Takahide Ikenushi

102---25%3/1

Analysis

Is first-up after a break of four months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation fourth of 7 at Tatura Bm56 September 30 over 1 ³/16m, a long neck behind Whispering Pharaoh with 134lbs at $5. Makes his debut for the Ikenushi stable and strikes a winnable race.

1
Venus King silk

Second-up. First-up after five months 9th of 11 at this track Cl1 on January 11 over 7f, 6 len behind Pure Silver with 127lbs at $10. Can improve sharply on the first-up effort.

2nd Pick
1

Venus King

Jockey: Brad Parnham

Trainer: Darren Mcauliffe

J: Brad Parnham

T: Darren Mcauliffe

148---25%3/1

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after five months 9th of 11 at this track Cl1 on January 11 over 7f, 6 len behind Pure Silver with 127lbs at $10. Can improve sharply on the first-up effort.

5
Lyn's Star silk

Last start 6th of 9 at this track Cl1 on January 7 over 1m, 4 len behind War Matters carrying 126lbs at $13. Before that sat on the pace when 3rd of 12 at Esperance Cl2 on January 2 over 1m, 4 len behind Zadows Landing with 118lbs at $10. Right in the mix if she gets back to her best form.

3rd Pick
5

Lyn's Star

Jockey: Chanel Cooper

Trainer: Ryan Hill

J: Chanel Cooper

T: Ryan Hill

138---15%6/1

Analysis

Last start 6th of 9 at this track Cl1 on January 7 over 1m, 4 len behind War Matters carrying 126lbs at $13. Before that sat on the pace when 3rd of 12 at Esperance Cl2 on January 2 over 1m, 4 len behind Zadows Landing with 118lbs at $10. Right in the mix if she gets back to her best form.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.