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7:00 AM

AU - Bunbury - Race 3

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
8.3f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
17.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MAGIC CARATS (1) missed here two back before an impressive effort back to 7f last start at this track. The draw makes things tricky, but the rise in trip is ideal and if he runs up to what he did last time out, he'll be very hard to hold out. EXCAVATION (4) came back to this trip on the Scarpside at Pinjarra after good efforts over further prior to that. Brad Parnham hops in the saddle now replacing the apprentice hoop and he can bounce back to winning ways. BUSTER BIFF (6) steps out in trip for the first time today and that appears to be what he's looking for. The son of Jimmy Choux hits this third-up and sharp improvement is on the cards. KODY'S BELLE (8) comes through the same race as Excavation last time out and that form looks good for a race of this calibre. WILLYABRUP (5) is better than what he showed last start and can bounce back dropping in trip.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Magic Carats silk

Recent form sound. At the latest run 4th of 13 at this track Mdn on January 11 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Autumn Gem with 128lbs at $3. The run before that raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 10 at this track Mdn on December 28 over 1 m, 2.25 len behind Arpione with 128lbs at $3.60. Finds a winnable race today.

1st Pick
1

Magic Carats

Jockey: Shaun O'donnell

Trainer: Brent Larsson

J: Shaun O'donnell

T: Brent Larsson

175---58%8/11

Analysis

Recent form sound. At the latest run 4th of 13 at this track Mdn on January 11 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Autumn Gem with 128lbs at $3. The run before that raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 10 at this track Mdn on December 28 over 1 m, 2.25 len behind Arpione with 128lbs at $3.60. Finds a winnable race today.

4
Excavation silk

Most recently sat on the pace before fading second last of 12 at Pinjarra Scarpside Mdn on January 15 over 1m, 16 len behind Southern Firetail carrying 123lbs at $26. The race before that 5th of 10 at this track Mdn on December 28 over 1m, 7 len behind Electric Bec carrying 123lbs at $5.50. Better than he showed last start and can bounce back.

2nd Pick
4

Excavation

Jockey: Brad Parnham

Trainer: Darren Mcauliffe

J: Brad Parnham

T: Darren Mcauliffe

150---11%17/2

Analysis

Most recently sat on the pace before fading second last of 12 at Pinjarra Scarpside Mdn on January 15 over 1m, 16 len behind Southern Firetail carrying 123lbs at $26. The race before that 5th of 10 at this track Mdn on December 28 over 1m, 7 len behind Electric Bec carrying 123lbs at $5.50. Better than he showed last start and can bounce back.

6
Buster Biff silk

Third-up today. Resuming 10th of 14 at Pinjarra Mdn on December 26 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Bannered with 125lbs at $18. Second-up 10th of 12 at this track 3yo Mdn on January 11 over 6f, 6 len behind Two Time Charlie carrying 126lbs at $31. Looks an improver getting right out in trip now.

3rd Pick
6

Buster Biff

Jockey: Holly Nottle

Trainer: David Harrison

J: Holly Nottle

T: David Harrison

152---17%5/1

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming 10th of 14 at Pinjarra Mdn on December 26 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Bannered with 125lbs at $18. Second-up 10th of 12 at this track 3yo Mdn on January 11 over 6f, 6 len behind Two Time Charlie carrying 126lbs at $31. Looks an improver getting right out in trip now.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.