AU - Bunbury - Race 3

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

8.3f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

17.2K

VIEW

Verdict

MAGIC CARATS (1) missed here two back before an impressive effort back to 7f last start at this track. The draw makes things tricky, but the rise in trip is ideal and if he runs up to what he did last time out, he'll be very hard to hold out. EXCAVATION (4) came back to this trip on the Scarpside at Pinjarra after good efforts over further prior to that. Brad Parnham hops in the saddle now replacing the apprentice hoop and he can bounce back to winning ways. BUSTER BIFF (6) steps out in trip for the first time today and that appears to be what he's looking for. The son of Jimmy Choux hits this third-up and sharp improvement is on the cards. KODY'S BELLE (8) comes through the same race as Excavation last time out and that form looks good for a race of this calibre. WILLYABRUP (5) is better than what he showed last start and can bounce back dropping in trip.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Recent form sound. At the latest run 4th of 13 at this track Mdn on January 11 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Autumn Gem with 128lbs at $3. The run before that raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 10 at this track Mdn on December 28 over 1 m, 2.25 len behind Arpione with 128lbs at $3.60. Finds a winnable race today. 1st Pick 1 Magic Carats Jockey: Shaun O'donnell Trainer: Brent Larsson J: Shaun O'donnell T: Brent Larsson	175	-	-	-	58%	8/11
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run 4th of 13 at this track Mdn on January 11 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Autumn Gem with 128lbs at $3. The run before that raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 10 at this track Mdn on December 28 over 1 m, 2.25 len behind Arpione with 128lbs at $3.60. Finds a winnable race today.
4	Most recently sat on the pace before fading second last of 12 at Pinjarra Scarpside Mdn on January 15 over 1m, 16 len behind Southern Firetail carrying 123lbs at $26. The race before that 5th of 10 at this track Mdn on December 28 over 1m, 7 len behind Electric Bec carrying 123lbs at $5.50. Better than he showed last start and can bounce back. 2nd Pick 4 Excavation Jockey: Brad Parnham Trainer: Darren Mcauliffe J: Brad Parnham T: Darren Mcauliffe	150	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis Most recently sat on the pace before fading second last of 12 at Pinjarra Scarpside Mdn on January 15 over 1m, 16 len behind Southern Firetail carrying 123lbs at $26. The race before that 5th of 10 at this track Mdn on December 28 over 1m, 7 len behind Electric Bec carrying 123lbs at $5.50. Better than he showed last start and can bounce back.
6	Third-up today. Resuming 10th of 14 at Pinjarra Mdn on December 26 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Bannered with 125lbs at $18. Second-up 10th of 12 at this track 3yo Mdn on January 11 over 6f, 6 len behind Two Time Charlie carrying 126lbs at $31. Looks an improver getting right out in trip now. 3rd Pick 6 Buster Biff Jockey: Holly Nottle Trainer: David Harrison J: Holly Nottle T: David Harrison	152	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming 10th of 14 at Pinjarra Mdn on December 26 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Bannered with 125lbs at $18. Second-up 10th of 12 at this track 3yo Mdn on January 11 over 6f, 6 len behind Two Time Charlie carrying 126lbs at $31. Looks an improver getting right out in trip now.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.