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4:47 AM

AU - Bowen - Race 3

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
7.3f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
10.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LONE FORCE (4) ran a nice race last time out over 1m at Townsville, finishing fourth and beaten 2.5 lengths after being prominent at the turn. Finds an easier assignment and can get the job done. FISTSOFFURY (3) made progress last time out, finishing 3 lengths from the winner in third when he made late ground at the end of 7 ¼f at Cairns. Ideally placed and is sure to prove tough to beat. BANG STICK (1) was out of the money when resuming two runs back then just missed the frame last start over 6 ¼f at Cairns, beaten 4.5 lengths into fifth. Perfectly placed and is sure to take plenty of stopping. CYCLONE COCO (5) was beaten 3 lengths into sixth at the second run back from a break in a 6f contest at Mareeba a week-and-a-half ago. Better than recent efforts suggest and may earn some minor money.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Lone Force silk

Most recently 4th of 11 in a Bm65 at Townsville on August 30 over 1m, slow going 2.5 len behind Ready Tiger carrying 128lbs at $7. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 in a Bm60 at Townsville on August 18 over 1m, 1.0 len behind Intruder with 132lbs at $6.50. Not far from winner at his last appearance and rates highly.

1st Pick
4

Lone Force

Jockey: Adam Sewell

Trainer: Georgina Holt

J: Adam Sewell

T: Georgina Holt

188---20%4/1

Analysis

Most recently 4th of 11 in a Bm65 at Townsville on August 30 over 1m, slow going 2.5 len behind Ready Tiger carrying 128lbs at $7. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 in a Bm60 at Townsville on August 18 over 1m, 1.0 len behind Intruder with 132lbs at $6.50. Not far from winner at his last appearance and rates highly.

3
Fistsoffury silk

Most recently ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 7 in a Cl3 at Cairns on August 28 over 7 ¼f, 3 len behind Muskito with 131lbs at $6.50. The race before that ran last of 7 in a Hcp at Townsville on August 18 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Outback Action with 112lbs at $15. Made headway last time. Should be at peak fitness now and looks sure to feature.

2nd Pick
3

Fistsoffury

Jockey: Nathan Thomas

Trainer: Joanna Hassett

J: Nathan Thomas

T: Joanna Hassett

149---15%6/1

Analysis

Most recently ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 7 in a Cl3 at Cairns on August 28 over 7 ¼f, 3 len behind Muskito with 131lbs at $6.50. The race before that ran last of 7 in a Hcp at Townsville on August 18 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Outback Action with 112lbs at $15. Made headway last time. Should be at peak fitness now and looks sure to feature.

1
Bang Stick silk

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 5th of 13 in a Bm65 at Townsville on August 18 over 5f, 2.5 len behind Dalt Jaz with 133lbs at $5. Second-up 5th of 8 in a 3&4yo Hcp at Cairns on August 29 over 6 ¼f, 4.5 len behind Worthy Gem with 131lbs at $3. Strips fitter and is good enough to test this field.

3rd Pick
1

Bang Stick

Jockey: Ben Kennedy

Trainer: Tom Button

J: Ben Kennedy

T: Tom Button

182---29%5/2

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 5th of 13 in a Bm65 at Townsville on August 18 over 5f, 2.5 len behind Dalt Jaz with 133lbs at $5. Second-up 5th of 8 in a 3&4yo Hcp at Cairns on August 29 over 6 ¼f, 4.5 len behind Worthy Gem with 131lbs at $3. Strips fitter and is good enough to test this field.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.