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6:54 AM

AU - Belmont Park - Race 3

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
5f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
17.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BUSTER'S BABE (8) sat handy but couldn't land the knockout blow despite having every chance in the run. Back to 5f here may hold the key, though the wide draw is a query. Despite the niggles, she looks to have plenty of quality from what we've seen publicly and she can get the job done. NISTIRITH (6) picked up from where she left off last campaign, finishing 0.6L away at Mt Barker. She's been given plenty of time to get over that effort and the form out of that race has been superb. Maps beautifully once again and can go one better this time. I'M A SOULMAN (1) may have just come to the end of his campaign last start when well below what we'd seen early in his prep. His recent trial suggests he's ready to fire on resumption and he can put his best foot forward. ROAMING AMERICA (5) gets Pike in the saddle after a recent trial win and he can make his presence felt. ESPRESSO TIME (3) will be better for the first-up run and can improve.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Buster's Babe silk

Was well-supported at debut, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 at Bunbury Mdn on February 12 over 6f, 3 len behind Unfortunate Lad with 121lbs at $3.40. Stuck on well on debut and can raise the bar.

1st Pick
8

Buster's Babe

Jockey: Brad Parnham

Trainer: David Harrison

J: Brad Parnham

T: David Harrison

93---25%3/1

Analysis

Was well-supported at debut, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 at Bunbury Mdn on February 12 over 6f, 3 len behind Unfortunate Lad with 121lbs at $3.40. Stuck on well on debut and can raise the bar.

6
Nistirith silk

Second-up. Comes off a 38-day let-up. First-up after five months tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 11 at Mt Barker Mdn on January 18 over 5f, 0.6 len behind Prasutagus carrying 120lbs at $2.10. Previously second-up 2nd of 10 at Bunbury All Weather Mdn on July 31 over 4 ¾f, nose behind Circus Angel with 114lbs at $6.50. Strong performance on resumption and she can build on that effort.

2nd Pick
6

Nistirith

Jockey: Holly Watson

Trainer: Dion Luciani

J: Holly Watson

T: Dion Luciani

125---16%11/2

Analysis

Second-up. Comes off a 38-day let-up. First-up after five months tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 11 at Mt Barker Mdn on January 18 over 5f, 0.6 len behind Prasutagus carrying 120lbs at $2.10. Previously second-up 2nd of 10 at Bunbury All Weather Mdn on July 31 over 4 ¾f, nose behind Circus Angel with 114lbs at $6.50. Strong performance on resumption and she can build on that effort.

1
I'm A Soulman silk

Resuming after a four-and-a-half months break. Finished off last preparation second last of 9 at Northam 3yo Mdn October 16 over 5 ½f, 7 len behind Heaven Specified carrying 126lbs at $13. On debut second of 10 at Northam 3yo Mdn September 14 over 5f, soft track, 0.7 len behind Esta Mirando carrying 126lbs at $13. Resumes after a recent trial win. Nice trial coming in and he can play a leading role.

3rd Pick
1

I'm A Soulman

Jockey: Lucy Fiore

Trainer: Brian Kersley

J: Lucy Fiore

T: Brian Kersley

101---8%13/1

Analysis

Resuming after a four-and-a-half months break. Finished off last preparation second last of 9 at Northam 3yo Mdn October 16 over 5 ½f, 7 len behind Heaven Specified carrying 126lbs at $13. On debut second of 10 at Northam 3yo Mdn September 14 over 5f, soft track, 0.7 len behind Esta Mirando carrying 126lbs at $13. Resumes after a recent trial win. Nice trial coming in and he can play a leading role.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.