AU - Belmont Park - Race 2

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

17.4K

VIEW

Verdict

BOURBONONTHEROCKS (7) is on the cusp of a maiden win after going under by a head at Ascot as a well-supported favourite last start. He has already handled 7f and brings the strongest exposed maiden form, with the Northam debut also tying in well through Frosted Warrior. FROSTED WARRIOR (6) has genuine claims after a Bunbury third in Mdn grade where interference near the 1f added merit to the run, and he should be ready to produce again third-up. Parnham rides now and he looks to be trending the right way. RAKITIN (8) was never likely in the Simmonds and this shapes as a much different assignment to anything he's faced. Out in trip, blinkers on and an opportunity to improve sharply. WALLENBERG (2) resumes after over a year off, but two trials since racing, the latest a second at Belmont Park, give him a solid platform. His VIC form reads well for this. DIAMOND CHOUX (4) can bounce back despite a disappointing run last time.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Went within a head of breaking through at Ascot last week, travelling well before being nailed late as a well-supported favourite. That followed a solid debut third in a Northam Mdn where he beat Frosted Warrior, giving him the most reliable exposed form in this field. He is third-up, has already placed at 7f and his tactical versatility gives him every chance to convert. 1st Pick 7 Bourbonontherocks Jockey: Brandon Louis Trainer: Justine Erkelens J: Brandon Louis T: Justine Erkelens	210	-	-	-	50%	1/1
Analysis Went within a head of breaking through at Ascot last week, travelling well before being nailed late as a well-supported favourite. That followed a solid debut third in a Northam Mdn where he beat Frosted Warrior, giving him the most reliable exposed form in this field. He is third-up, has already placed at 7f and his tactical versatility gives him every chance to convert.
6	Improved sharply third-up when third in a Mdn at Bunbury, beaten just over two lengths, and interference near the 1f gives the run extra merit. He was also held up near the same stage at Northam two back, so there has been more to both runs this campaign than the margins show. Chris Parnham taking over is a plus and his only 7f run produced a placing, putting him among the main chances. 2nd Pick 6 Frosted Warrior Jockey: Chris Parnham Trainer: Stefan Vahala J: Chris Parnham T: Stefan Vahala	118	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Improved sharply third-up when third in a Mdn at Bunbury, beaten just over two lengths, and interference near the 1f gives the run extra merit. He was also held up near the same stage at Northam two back, so there has been more to both runs this campaign than the margins show. Chris Parnham taking over is a plus and his only 7f run produced a placing, putting him among the main chances.
2	Returns from a lengthy spell with two trials behind him, the latest a second at Belmont Park, so there is enough readiness to respect him fresh. He ended his last campaign fourth at Geelong as favourite after battling on fairly, and his previous Ballarat Synthetic second came despite a slow start and some interference. The 7lbs claim helps, blinkers come off, and his best Victorian form puts him right in this. 3rd Pick 2 Wallenberg Jockey: Sharni Webster Trainer: Glenn Webster J: Sharni Webster T: Glenn Webster	75	-	-	-	4%	25/1
Analysis Returns from a lengthy spell with two trials behind him, the latest a second at Belmont Park, so there is enough readiness to respect him fresh. He ended his last campaign fourth at Geelong as favourite after battling on fairly, and his previous Ballarat Synthetic second came despite a slow start and some interference. The 7lbs claim helps, blinkers come off, and his best Victorian form puts him right in this.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.