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5:30 AM

AU - Beaumont (Newcastle) - Race 5

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
5.7f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
21.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

IVY DIVA (5) racing in career best form and expected to make it three-straight victories. Sat off the speed before she rounded them up effortlessly to salute over 6 ¾f at this track last time out. Returns from a let-up and gets every chance from the draw. GRASSBURN (3) is on the ten-day back-up after returning to form with a narrow second to Moscow Circus over 6f at Port Macquarie. That form looks good enough for this. Go close. NEW PHAROAH (1) capable on his day and has a handy fresh record. Had mixed luck in Highway company last prep and his only trial win over 5 ½f at Scone was solid. Look for him launching late. ENSIGN PARKER (2) saves his best for this track and trip and gets the right set-up today. Failed to run on from the wide gate with a battling fifth over 5 ½f at Armidale. Drops in weight with the claim and can figure prominently.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Ivy Diva silk

Recent form sound. Returns from a 48-day let-up. Last start came from midfield and won by 1.5 len at this track Bm58 December 16 over 6 ¾f defeating Smart Lily with 130lbs at $4.40. The run before that won by 1.75 len at Narromine Bm58 December 2 over 6 ½f defeating Starlink with 126lbs at $6. Going well and can get the job done again.

1st Pick
5

Ivy Diva

Jockey: Reece Jones

Trainer: Tim Mcintosh

J: Reece Jones

T: Tim Mcintosh

142---20%4/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. Returns from a 48-day let-up. Last start came from midfield and won by 1.5 len at this track Bm58 December 16 over 6 ¾f defeating Smart Lily with 130lbs at $4.40. The run before that won by 1.75 len at Narromine Bm58 December 2 over 6 ½f defeating Starlink with 126lbs at $6. Going well and can get the job done again.

3
Grassburn silk

Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 at Port Macquarie Qotn Bm74 on January 23 over 6f, slow going 0.7 len behind Moscow Circus carrying 122lbs at $11. The start before that 11th of 13 at Wyong Highway-C3 on January 10 over 5 ½f, 4.5 len behind Crusader Kings with 119lbs at $41. Deep into the prep and doesn't have to improve much to win this.

2nd Pick
3

Grassburn

Jockey: Mollie Fitzgerald

Trainer: Matthew Robinson

J: Mollie Fitzgerald

T: Matthew Robinson

158---20%4/1

Analysis

Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 at Port Macquarie Qotn Bm74 on January 23 over 6f, slow going 0.7 len behind Moscow Circus carrying 122lbs at $11. The start before that 11th of 13 at Wyong Highway-C3 on January 10 over 5 ½f, 4.5 len behind Crusader Kings with 119lbs at $41. Deep into the prep and doesn't have to improve much to win this.

1
New Pharoah silk

Resumes after a break of seven months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation when last of 11 at Rosehill Highway-C3 June 28 over 7 ½f, 13 len behind Red Rags To Bulls with 120lbs at $2.90. When resuming last campaign fourth of 10 at Scone Super Mdn February 6 over 5f, 2.5 len behind Listins Lass carrying 126lbs at $9.50. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Handy gelding who resumes with the one trial win, look for him late.

3rd Pick
1

New Pharoah

Jockey: Ashley Morgan

Trainer: Brett & Georgie Cavanough

J: Ashley Morgan

T: Brett & Georgie Cavanough

112---27%11/4

Analysis

Resumes after a break of seven months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation when last of 11 at Rosehill Highway-C3 June 28 over 7 ½f, 13 len behind Red Rags To Bulls with 120lbs at $2.90. When resuming last campaign fourth of 10 at Scone Super Mdn February 6 over 5f, 2.5 len behind Listins Lass carrying 126lbs at $9.50. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Handy gelding who resumes with the one trial win, look for him late.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.