AU - Beaumont (Newcastle) - Race 4

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

5.7f

Class 1

Turf

SOFT 5

30.1K

VIEW

Verdict

NAFANUA (9) is improving with racing and gets the blinkers added today in this tougher contest third up. Came out quickly on the heavy surface with a fighting second over 6f at Bathurst with 127lbs. Will appreciate Newman's 4lbs claim and take catching here. STUBBORN EMMELIE (7) slow into stride first up and struck trouble in the run with an even seventh over 5 ½f at Canterbury. Well drawn again and can find the winners' list if she mends her manners. LADY OF THE CASTLE (4) rewarded for her consistency third up with a game Maiden win over 6f at Newcastle. Can keep the winning momentum going from the good gate. CANAL (1) progressive type who opened this prep with a decisive win, scoring by 2.5 lengths over 6f at Port Macquarie. Can go on with it.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 3rd of 9 in a Cl1 at Illawarra Grange on July 30 over 5 ¾f, 3.5 len behind Capture Me carrying 121lbs at $12. Second run from a spell rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 8 in a Cl1 at Bathurst on August 17 over 6f, in the wet, nose behind Demmo Dermy carrying 127lbs at $3.20. Set to peak with the blinkers going on. 1st Pick 9 Nafanua Jockey: Jett Newman Trainer: Bjorn Baker J: Jett Newman T: Bjorn Baker	122	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 3rd of 9 in a Cl1 at Illawarra Grange on July 30 over 5 ¾f, 3.5 len behind Capture Me carrying 121lbs at $12. Second run from a spell rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 8 in a Cl1 at Bathurst on August 17 over 6f, in the wet, nose behind Demmo Dermy carrying 127lbs at $3.20. Set to peak with the blinkers going on.
7	Second run back. First-up after four months 7th of 9 in a F&M Bm64 at Canterbury on August 5 over 5 ½f, 2.5 len behind Raskol carrying 128lbs at $10. Previously second-up came from midfield and won by a head at Gosford on March 14 over 5f on a soft track defeating Gamp with 125lbs at $4. Struck trouble first up and capable of testing this field. 2nd Pick 7 Stubborn Emmelie Jockey: Tom Sherry Trainer: Gerald Ryan & Sterling Alexiou J: Tom Sherry T: Gerald Ryan & Sterling Alexiou	110	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after four months 7th of 9 in a F&M Bm64 at Canterbury on August 5 over 5 ½f, 2.5 len behind Raskol carrying 128lbs at $10. Previously second-up came from midfield and won by a head at Gosford on March 14 over 5f on a soft track defeating Gamp with 125lbs at $4. Struck trouble first up and capable of testing this field.
3	Second run back. Comes off a 47-day let-up. First-up after three months 2nd in a small field in a F&M Bm64 at Gosford on July 9 over 5 ½f, in the wet, 0.6 len behind Powerful Tune carrying 128lbs at $4.40. Previously second-up 7th of 9 in a F&M Bm64 at Hawkesbury on February 19 over 6 ½f, 3.5 len behind Spaceballs carrying 130lbs at $4.80. Back in grade and has genuine winning claims. 3rd Pick 3 Issy's Star Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Kris Lees J: Non Runner T: Kris Lees	164	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Second run back. Comes off a 47-day let-up. First-up after three months 2nd in a small field in a F&M Bm64 at Gosford on July 9 over 5 ½f, in the wet, 0.6 len behind Powerful Tune carrying 128lbs at $4.40. Previously second-up 7th of 9 in a F&M Bm64 at Hawkesbury on February 19 over 6 ½f, 3.5 len behind Spaceballs carrying 130lbs at $4.80. Back in grade and has genuine winning claims.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.