AU - Beaumont (Newcastle) - Race 4
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Verdict
| #/Silk | Horse#/Horse | Power Rating | High Speed | Win % | Top 3% | Win Prob | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Worked home strongly from well back when fifth in a BM64 at the Kenso last start, beaten just under three lengths after being blocked early. That followed a long-neck third in another BM64 at Newcastle when wide throughout. The 6 ¾f remains a small query, but he is third-up, handles wet ground, and is eased from mid-week company. The 6 ¾f is the query, but his Beaumont record gives him the strongest case. 1st Pick 1 Good'n'you Jockey: Tom Sherry Trainer: Gerald Ryan & Sterling Alexiou J: Tom Sherry T: Gerald Ryan & Sterling Alexiou | 186 | - | - | - | 40% | 6/4 |
Analysis Worked home strongly from well back when fifth in a BM64 at the Kenso last start, beaten just under three lengths after being blocked early. That followed a long-neck third in another BM64 at Newcastle when wide throughout. The 6 ¾f remains a small query, but he is third-up, handles wet ground, and is eased from mid-week company. The 6 ¾f is the query, but his Beaumont record gives him the strongest case. | |||||||
2 | Comes off a determined Mdn win at Newcastle, beating Hidden News by just under a length after travelling behind the leaders and finding enough late. He had been tightened and covered ground when seventh to Federalist the run prior, so that effort can be treated more kindly. Not much depth to this so expect him to hold that form. 2nd Pick 2 River Jordan Jockey: Reece Jones Trainer: Nacim Dilmi J: Reece Jones T: Nacim Dilmi | 142 | - | - | - | 12% | 15/2 |
Analysis Comes off a determined Mdn win at Newcastle, beating Hidden News by just under a length after travelling behind the leaders and finding enough late. He had been tightened and covered ground when seventh to Federalist the run prior, so that effort can be treated more kindly. Not much depth to this so expect him to hold that form. | |||||||
3 | Held his ground when fifth at Newcastle on soft ground last week, beaten just under four lengths by Zouboy, and now turns around quickly. The prior eighth at Illawarra Grange was plain after being bumped approaching the 4 ½f, but the first-time visor gives him a practical gear change to spark improvement. Quick return is the query, but a sharper response with the gear on puts him right in the race. 3rd Pick 3 Classic Pocket Jockey: Aaron Bullock Trainer: Rodney Bailey J: Aaron Bullock T: Rodney Bailey | 124 | - | - | - | 10% | 9/1 |
Analysis Held his ground when fifth at Newcastle on soft ground last week, beaten just under four lengths by Zouboy, and now turns around quickly. The prior eighth at Illawarra Grange was plain after being bumped approaching the 4 ½f, but the first-time visor gives him a practical gear change to spark improvement. Quick return is the query, but a sharper response with the gear on puts him right in the race. | |||||||

