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3:25 AM

AU - Beaumont (Newcastle) - Race 2

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
5.7f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
21.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SUPER VITALITY (10) has the most persuasive form, resuming last start at Tamworth with a fourth, beaten a length, after being prominent in betting. Best figure last prep, a strong third at Scone over a similar distance to this, reads well. Strips fitter today and in a race that lacks depth of quality he gets his chance to break through. UNALIENABLE RIGHT (4) was only battling when sixth at Tamworth last start, but his Tuncurry second first-up was a genuine pointer. Can bounce back at the third run of the campaign. THIRTY DEGREES (3) brings the most consistent recent profile with placings in two of three runs this season, though his record at around 5 ¾f is the main reservation. ECHO OF A WHISPER (7) resumes. Last appeared three months back at Muswellbrook - that fourth had merit after she was held up late. Good enough to be competitive. MUST DIAMOND (8) wasn't all that far away on debut last start at Taree and there is plenty of improvement in the locker.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
10
Super Vitality silk

Resumed with a strong pointer at Tamworth, finishing fourth and beaten a length after being near the top of betting on soft ground. His previous placing came in a CG Open at Muswellbrook, which gives him a useful grade reference for a Mdn. Already placed around this trip and looks the one to beat.

1st Pick
10

Super Vitality

Jockey: Reece Jones

Trainer: Todd Howlett

J: Reece Jones

T: Todd Howlett

193---43%11/8

Analysis

Resumed with a strong pointer at Tamworth, finishing fourth and beaten a length after being near the top of betting on soft ground. His previous placing came in a CG Open at Muswellbrook, which gives him a useful grade reference for a Mdn. Already placed around this trip and looks the one to beat.

4
Unalienable Right silk

Was only fair when sixth at Tamworth last start, beaten just under six lengths after sitting close enough and offering no late excuse. The stronger pointer is his Tuncurry second the run prior, where he travelled well and was beaten just over half a length by Heart Of Jenni. Tamworth sixth was plain, but a likely rebound puts him right in the race.

2nd Pick
4

Unalienable Right

Jockey: Aaron Bullock

Trainer: Ben Blay

J: Aaron Bullock

T: Ben Blay

150---16%11/2

Analysis

Was only fair when sixth at Tamworth last start, beaten just under six lengths after sitting close enough and offering no late excuse. The stronger pointer is his Tuncurry second the run prior, where he travelled well and was beaten just over half a length by Heart Of Jenni. Tamworth sixth was plain, but a likely rebound puts him right in the race.

3
Thirty Degrees silk

Returns from a five-week let-up after finishing second at Armidale over 6 ½f, beaten just over four lengths after travelling well but tiring late. He had earlier worked home evenly for fourth at Scone on soft ground, beaten just under three lengths. The 5 ¾f record is the query, but he is right in this on best figures.

3rd Pick
3

Thirty Degrees

Jockey: Andrew Gibbons

Trainer: Cassandra Stummer

J: Andrew Gibbons

T: Cassandra Stummer

78---16%11/2

Analysis

Returns from a five-week let-up after finishing second at Armidale over 6 ½f, beaten just over four lengths after travelling well but tiring late. He had earlier worked home evenly for fourth at Scone on soft ground, beaten just under three lengths. The 5 ¾f record is the query, but he is right in this on best figures.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.