AU - Beaumont (Newcastle) - Race 1

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

10.4f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

19.0K

VIEW

Verdict

QUESTIONABLE (7) brings the strongest winning profile to the race after scoring at Dubbo as an odds-on favourite last start. Her overall record at around 1 5/16m is the strongest guide in this field. She rises from BM58 grade and meets stronger company, but two wins and a placing from three tries around this trip give her the right platform. ASTROGAZER (6) has been competitive in soft-ground BM58 races and gets meaningful weight relief, though 1 5/16m is new territory. Should get an easy time up front which obviously helps him to get the trip. Looks the biggest threat. D'ORO CHOICE (3) has been slow away at both runs this campaign but kept finding the line, and his record around 1 5/16m makes him a genuine contender. Last-start winner SOUND AND VISION (2) is going well for a ten-year-old and must go in the exotics. SMART JAZZ (8) on a seven-day turnaround is another for wider trifectas and first fours.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Comes off a firm Dubbo BM58 win where she was sent out an odds-on favourite and beat Godwits by a length and a half. The prior third at Dubbo was also sound despite being bumped early and steadied, and her season record shows two wins and two placings from five starts. Brings the most convincing winning case. 1st Pick 7 Questionable Jockey: Anna Weatherlake Trainer: Rodney Northam J: Anna Weatherlake T: Rodney Northam	137	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Comes off a firm Dubbo BM58 win where she was sent out an odds-on favourite and beat Godwits by a length and a half. The prior third at Dubbo was also sound despite being bumped early and steadied, and her season record shows two wins and two placings from five starts. Brings the most convincing winning case.
5	Was close enough at Wagga last start and finished sixth, beaten just over a length, with late interference noted by stewards. That followed a narrow Class 1 win at Cootamundra where she was well-supported favourite and beat Sammaan City after travelling kindly. Major danger on the back of that form. 2nd Pick 5 Hussy La Vista Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Theresa Bateup J: Non Runner T: Theresa Bateup	117	-	-	-	17%	Scratched
Analysis Was close enough at Wagga last start and finished sixth, beaten just over a length, with late interference noted by stewards. That followed a narrow Class 1 win at Cootamundra where she was well-supported favourite and beat Sammaan City after travelling kindly. Major danger on the back of that form.
6	Finished fifth in a BM58 at Nowra last start, beaten just over two lengths as one near the top of betting, after a solid second to Cha Cha Cha at Goulburn on soft ground. He gets clear weight relief from that latest run and handles rain-affected going, but the rise to 1 5/16m is his first try at the distance. The first try at 1 5/16m is the query but cannot be underestimated. 3rd Pick 6 Astrogazer Jockey: Alysha Collett Trainer: David Pfieffer J: Alysha Collett T: David Pfieffer	160	-	-	-	4%	24/1
Analysis Finished fifth in a BM58 at Nowra last start, beaten just over two lengths as one near the top of betting, after a solid second to Cha Cha Cha at Goulburn on soft ground. He gets clear weight relief from that latest run and handles rain-affected going, but the rise to 1 5/16m is his first try at the distance. The first try at 1 5/16m is the query but cannot be underestimated.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

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