AU - Beaudesert - Race 1

Thoroughbred

19 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

20.7K

VIEW

Verdict

In a race that lacks depth OCTOBER MANIFESTO (7) is a standout. Two runs this prep have had merit, the latest a desperately close second over this distance at the Gold Coast where he gave away a big start on straightening. Cherry ripe now and just needs to hold his form to be breaking the maiden status. ABLESHEEBA (5) had been going okay until stretched to 1 ¹/16m at Ipswich last time where he struggled. Very fit three-year-old who can improve coming back to a more suitable journey. DIVIL A BIT (3) raced back in the field and couldn't make an impression first-up over 6 ½f at the Gold Coast. Backs up six days later and an accomplished senior rider goes on. Expecting a much better effort. MISHPAT (11) ran a far better race last start when fourth-up from a spell, battling on well for third over 6f at Toowoomba. The extra trip is a small query but in a race of questionable quality she is a top four contender. Hard to make a case for the others.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
7	Third-up today. Resuming 2nd of 9 at Ipswich 3yo Mdn-Sw on May 30 over 6 ¾f, on heavy track, 2.25 len behind Atlantic Coast carrying 123lbs at $7. Last start came from the tail of the field 2nd of 10 at Gold Coast 3yo Mdn-Sw on June 13 over 7f, in the wet, nose behind Piggietales carrying 123lbs at $4.80. Will never get a better chance to break through. 1st Pick 7 October Manifesto Jockey: Jag Guthmann-Chester Trainer: Annabel & Rob Archibald J: Jag Guthmann-Chester T: Annabel & Rob Archibald	270	-	-	-	72%
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming 2nd of 9 at Ipswich 3yo Mdn-Sw on May 30 over 6 ¾f, on heavy track, 2.25 len behind Atlantic Coast carrying 123lbs at $7. Last start came from the tail of the field 2nd of 10 at Gold Coast 3yo Mdn-Sw on June 13 over 7f, in the wet, nose behind Piggietales carrying 123lbs at $4.80. Will never get a better chance to break through.
5	At the latest run 8th of 11 at Ipswich Mdn-Sw on June 4 over 1 ¹/16m, on a slow track, 8 len behind Gratification carrying 128lbs at $6.50. Before that came from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Ipswich Mdn-Sw on May 21 over 1 m, in the wet, 2 len behind Wedding Vow carrying 128lbs at $3.70. Nicely placed to bounce back to form. 2nd Pick 5 Ablesheeba Jockey: Emily Lang Trainer: James Healy J: Emily Lang T: James Healy	175	-	-	-	19%
Analysis At the latest run 8th of 11 at Ipswich Mdn-Sw on June 4 over 1 ¹/16m, on a slow track, 8 len behind Gratification carrying 128lbs at $6.50. Before that came from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Ipswich Mdn-Sw on May 21 over 1 m, in the wet, 2 len behind Wedding Vow carrying 128lbs at $3.70. Nicely placed to bounce back to form.
3	Second-up. First-up after six months 7th of 13 at Gold Coast Mdn on June 20 over 6 ½f, slow going 5.5 len behind Sense Of Duty carrying 123lbs at $31. Previously second-up 8th of 11 at Gold Coast Mdn-Sw on November 22 over 7f, slow going 6 len behind Will It Snow carrying 122lbs at $41. Fitter and Lerena taking over is a positive step. 3rd Pick 3 Divil A Bit Jockey: Brandon Lerena Trainer: Ruby Chatterton J: Brandon Lerena T: Ruby Chatterton	92	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after six months 7th of 13 at Gold Coast Mdn on June 20 over 6 ½f, slow going 5.5 len behind Sense Of Duty carrying 123lbs at $31. Previously second-up 8th of 11 at Gold Coast Mdn-Sw on November 22 over 7f, slow going 6 len behind Will It Snow carrying 122lbs at $41. Fitter and Lerena taking over is a positive step.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.