AU - Bathurst - Race 4

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

9.9f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

19.1K

VIEW

Verdict

TIS NO MAN (6) stepped out beyond a mile for the first time last start and absolutely bolted in over 1 ³/16m at the Canberra Acton track. Led by a big space mid-race and kept extending. No reason he won't run a strong 1 ¼m so stick with him. QUEEN TAVANE (9) ran on well to be beaten under a length over 1 5/16m at Goulburn two back in a Class 1. Tired at the end of 1 ½m at Kembla last time but she can make amends dropping back to this more suitable journey. FARRAIGE (8) ended a string of top three finishes with a modest effort at Canterbury recently. Form at or around this trip in the country prior to that run was hard to fault. In the right race to bounce back to form. GIRLY POP (12) hasn't saluted since the maiden win 73 weeks ago but her close fifth over 1 ?m at Newcastle last time puts her in the picture. Likely leader ITALUS (4) is on trial at 1 ¼m. Should give backers a sight but the last part of the race is the query.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Most recently won by 8 len at Canberra Acton on August 7 over 1 ³/16m defeating Empire Time with 130lbs at $3.50. Before that raced behind the speed prior to fading ran second last of 13 at Sapphire Coast on July 26 over 1m, slow going 9 len behind Lantau Island carrying 130lbs at $8. Hard to go past after that last performance. 1st Pick 6 Tis No Man Jockey: Kody Nestor Trainer: Nick Olive J: Kody Nestor T: Nick Olive	146	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Most recently won by 8 len at Canberra Acton on August 7 over 1 ³/16m defeating Empire Time with 130lbs at $3.50. Before that raced behind the speed prior to fading ran second last of 13 at Sapphire Coast on July 26 over 1m, slow going 9 len behind Lantau Island carrying 130lbs at $8. Hard to go past after that last performance.
9	Most recently sat on the pace before fading ran second last of 8 at Kembla Grange on July 25 over 1 ½m, 5 len behind Sablonneuse carrying 117lbs at $11. The run before that 3rd of 7 at Goulburn on July 17 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Unmatched carrying 126lbs at $13. Rock hard fit and should be more competitive back in this company. 2nd Pick 9 Queen Tavane Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Lee & Cherie Curtis J: Non Runner T: Lee & Cherie Curtis	88	-	-	-	10%	Scratched
Analysis Most recently sat on the pace before fading ran second last of 8 at Kembla Grange on July 25 over 1 ½m, 5 len behind Sablonneuse carrying 117lbs at $11. The run before that 3rd of 7 at Goulburn on July 17 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Unmatched carrying 126lbs at $13. Rock hard fit and should be more competitive back in this company.
8	At the latest run ran second last of 7 at Canterbury on July 22 over 1 ³/16m, slow going 8 len behind Velaris with 119lbs at $91. Before that 3rd of 7 at Dubbo on July 13 over 1m, on a slow track, 3 len behind Godwits with 128lbs at $3.10. Country form stacks up nicely and deserves another chance. 3rd Pick 8 Farraige Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Dale Wagstaff J: Non Runner T: Dale Wagstaff	93	-	-	-	6%	Scratched
Analysis At the latest run ran second last of 7 at Canterbury on July 22 over 1 ³/16m, slow going 8 len behind Velaris with 119lbs at $91. Before that 3rd of 7 at Dubbo on July 13 over 1m, on a slow track, 3 len behind Godwits with 128lbs at $3.10. Country form stacks up nicely and deserves another chance.

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