AU - Barcaldine - Race 4

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

6.5f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

10.7K

VIEW

Verdict

BLUE ROMAN (6) showed a good turn of foot to score fresh up, and that victory was not unexpected with the amount of market support he carried that day. He has the scope to take the next step immediately. OHH ERROL (4) has been freshened up since a solid effort for fourth at Thangool in early March. The blinkers are back on, and from the pole position, he can give this a shake. CALL OUT (2) was on the speed over 1m here last start before fading into fifth, and he will be better suited with the drop back to 6 ½f. Include in all top 4 combos. FINAL MISSION (7) hit the line strongly for second at Quilpie 10 days ago, and with the switch to Warwick Satherley being a positive, she could go one better.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Recent form sound. At the latest run 3rd in a small field at this track Cl4 on May 2 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Howse with 127lbs at $2.30. The race before that 2nd of 8 at Longreach Bm65 on April 25 over 7f, neck behind Bold Hussar with 125lbs at $3.60. Top chance on his best form. 1st Pick 1 Ferghana Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Toni Schofield J: Non Runner T: Toni Schofield	212	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run 3rd in a small field at this track Cl4 on May 2 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Howse with 127lbs at $2.30. The race before that 2nd of 8 at Longreach Bm65 on April 25 over 7f, neck behind Bold Hussar with 125lbs at $3.60. Top chance on his best form.
6	Third race start. First start second last of 11 at Emerald Mdn-Sw on January 23 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 13 len behind August Joe with 131lbs at $51. Returned from break won by 1.4 len at this track Mdn-Sw May 2 over 5f defeating Take A Break with 133lbs at $5.50. Stick with him. 2nd Pick 6 Blue Roman Jockey: Tom Orr Trainer: Bevan Johnson J: Tom Orr T: Bevan Johnson	137	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Third race start. First start second last of 11 at Emerald Mdn-Sw on January 23 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 13 len behind August Joe with 131lbs at $51. Returned from break won by 1.4 len at this track Mdn-Sw May 2 over 5f defeating Take A Break with 133lbs at $5.50. Stick with him.
4	Resuming. Finished off last preparation fourth of 9 at Thangool Cl1 March 2 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Little Pinker with 133lbs at $26. On debut second last of 10 at Dalby Mdn-Sw September 20 over 7f, soft track, 4.5 len behind Trusty Bandit carrying 129lbs at $5. Improvement to come and looks hard to beat. 3rd Pick 4 Ohh Errol Jockey: Mitch Goring Trainer: Toni Schofield J: Mitch Goring T: Toni Schofield	131	-	-	-	8%	13/1
Analysis Resuming. Finished off last preparation fourth of 9 at Thangool Cl1 March 2 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Little Pinker with 133lbs at $26. On debut second last of 10 at Dalby Mdn-Sw September 20 over 7f, soft track, 4.5 len behind Trusty Bandit carrying 129lbs at $5. Improvement to come and looks hard to beat.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.