AU - Ballina - Race 5

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

9.4f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 3

17.9K

VIEW

Verdict

SILVER AGENT (4) has only the one win from twelve starts and like the way he closed off when back in grade for a gritty second over 1 ³/16m at this track. At his top now and doesn't have to improve much to win this. JIMMY NAILS (2) comes off a 38-day let-up after pulling up lame at latest. Struggled to run the 2m out when a poor eighth at the Gold Coast in a BM70. Blinkers go on and back to his preferred trip. Each-way. BORN TO BE ALIVE (9) first real blemish of the campaign when he failed to handle the firm surface with a tiring seventh over 1 ?m at Grafton. Gets weight relief and shapes as a value prospect. DOWN UNDER STUNNAH (6) two runs back are better than they appear on paper and ready for the 1 ³/16m. Value prospect.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Most recently 2nd of 11 at this track Cl1-Sw on November 25 over 1 ³/16m, nose behind Mad Ana with 130lbs at $5. The start before that ran last of 7 at Eagle Farm Cl1 on November 12 over 1m, 4 len behind Let's Do It Again with 127lbs at $41. Narrowly beaten at latest and can go one better here. 1st Pick 4 Silver Agent Jockey: Andrew Mallyon Trainer: Lindsay Hatch J: Andrew Mallyon T: Lindsay Hatch	128	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Most recently 2nd of 11 at this track Cl1-Sw on November 25 over 1 ³/16m, nose behind Mad Ana with 130lbs at $5. The start before that ran last of 7 at Eagle Farm Cl1 on November 12 over 1m, 4 len behind Let's Do It Again with 127lbs at $41. Narrowly beaten at latest and can go one better here.
2	Returns from a 38-day let-up. Most recently second last of 9 at Gold Coast Bm70 on November 1 over 2m, slow going 4 len behind Likeabeel with 119lbs at $4.40. The race before that 2nd of 11 at Grafton Bm58 on October 21 over 1 7/16m, 0.7 len behind Zaynudin carrying 133lbs at $5. Improver with the blinkers going on. 2nd Pick 2 Jimmy Nails Jockey: Dylan Turner Trainer: Paul Shailer J: Dylan Turner T: Paul Shailer	132	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Returns from a 38-day let-up. Most recently second last of 9 at Gold Coast Bm70 on November 1 over 2m, slow going 4 len behind Likeabeel with 119lbs at $4.40. The race before that 2nd of 11 at Grafton Bm58 on October 21 over 1 7/16m, 0.7 len behind Zaynudin carrying 133lbs at $5. Improver with the blinkers going on.
9	At the latest run raced behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 10 at Grafton Bm58 on November 30 over 1m, 11 len behind Taravia carrying 127lbs at $9.50. Before that set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 10 at this track Bm58 on November 14 over 1 ³/16m, slow going 6 len behind Amahni's Girl carrying 127lbs at $10. Well placed with the 7lbs claim. 3rd Pick 9 Born To Be Alive Jockey: Amelia Heinrich Trainer: Allan Chau J: Amelia Heinrich T: Allan Chau	143	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis At the latest run raced behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 10 at Grafton Bm58 on November 30 over 1m, 11 len behind Taravia carrying 127lbs at $9.50. Before that set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 10 at this track Bm58 on November 14 over 1 ³/16m, slow going 6 len behind Amahni's Girl carrying 127lbs at $10. Well placed with the 7lbs claim.

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