AU - Ballina - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Class 1

Turf

GOOD 3

17.9K

VIEW

Verdict

GOLD PUMA (2) back in grade after closing late in a slow tempo race when third over 7f at this track. Masuda stays aboard and she should get the right pace to launch late. Go close. WHISKEY MISS (4) has impressed at all three runs this campaign and gets map favours today with the blinkers coming off. Snagged back from the draw before powering late with a solid fourth over 7f at Grafton. Will race closer here and prove hard to hold out. THUNDEROUS (11) drops in trip and was a month between runs when a tiring fifth over 7 ?f at Lismore. Kept fresh again in this easier contest. MONARCH EXPRESS (1) handled the rise in grade and trip with ease when an eye-catching third over 7f at this track. Gets a more genuine tempo here and stays in the mix.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Most recently 3rd of 8 at this track Bm66 on November 25 over 7f, 1.0 len behind Bold Hoi Ho with 121lbs at $10. Before that 3rd in a small field at Lismore Ctry Bm58 on November 10 over 6 ½f, slow going long-neck behind Gaming carrying 128lbs at $4.20. Racing well and rates among the leading chances. 1st Pick 2 Gold Puma Jockey: Noriyuki Masuda Trainer: Ethan Ensby J: Noriyuki Masuda T: Ethan Ensby	132	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Most recently 3rd of 8 at this track Bm66 on November 25 over 7f, 1.0 len behind Bold Hoi Ho with 121lbs at $10. Before that 3rd in a small field at Lismore Ctry Bm58 on November 10 over 6 ½f, slow going long-neck behind Gaming carrying 128lbs at $4.20. Racing well and rates among the leading chances.
4	Form hard to fault. Last start 4th of 11 at Grafton Ctry Bm58 on November 30 over 7f, 1.5 len behind Lady Alabama with 123lbs at $4.80. The start before that raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 8 at this track Bm58 on November 3 over 6 ¼f, 0.5 len behind Limahuli carrying 122lbs at $2.70. Best form stacks up nicely and deserves another chance. 2nd Pick 4 Whiskey Miss Jockey: Ben Looker Trainer: Ethan Ensby J: Ben Looker T: Ethan Ensby	132	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start 4th of 11 at Grafton Ctry Bm58 on November 30 over 7f, 1.5 len behind Lady Alabama with 123lbs at $4.80. The start before that raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 8 at this track Bm58 on November 3 over 6 ¼f, 0.5 len behind Limahuli carrying 122lbs at $2.70. Best form stacks up nicely and deserves another chance.
11	Comes here off a 29-day let-up. Most recently 5th of 9 at Lismore Bm58 on November 10 over 7f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Keep It Loki carrying 121lbs at $12. The start before that did the work up front then tired ran last of 9 at Murwillumbah Cl2-Sw on October 14 over 7 ¾f, 4.5 len behind Dark Chill with 126lbs at $26. Great chance to atone from the low draw. 3rd Pick 11 Thunderous Jockey: Damien Thornton Trainer: Marcus Wilson J: Damien Thornton T: Marcus Wilson	105	-	-	-	8%	13/1
Analysis Comes here off a 29-day let-up. Most recently 5th of 9 at Lismore Bm58 on November 10 over 7f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Keep It Loki carrying 121lbs at $12. The start before that did the work up front then tired ran last of 9 at Murwillumbah Cl2-Sw on October 14 over 7 ¾f, 4.5 len behind Dark Chill with 126lbs at $26. Great chance to atone from the low draw.

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