AU - Ballina - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

9.4f

Class 1

Turf

HEAVY 10

19.1K

VIEW

Verdict

COCCINELLA (1) recorded a strong maiden win over 1 ¹/16m at Gold Coast last time when leading pillar-to-post. Can go on with the job now. TRIPLE TIME (5) ran below expectations last time at Gold Coast, finishing fifth after being sent out favourite. Is better than that and can get things back on track. MAHUIKA MAROI (7) got too far back when resuming over the mile at Grafton when only warming late. Gets a key switch in Looker and will appreciate stepping out to this trip with that run under her belt. PRESSIPITATING (12) has had plenty of chances to break through but has efforts littered in there that can measure up.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	At the latest run won by 1.5 len at Gold Coast Mdn-Sw July 25 over 1 ¹/16m on a soft track defeating Urban Princess with 128lbs at $2.40. The race before that 9th of 12 at Grafton Super Mdn-Sw on July 15 over 1 ¹/16m, 3.5 len behind Aurora Effect with 130lbs at $51. Sure to go well again. 1st Pick 1 Coccinella Jockey: Nick Heywood Trainer: Allan Chau J: Nick Heywood T: Allan Chau	130	-	-	-	46%
Analysis At the latest run won by 1.5 len at Gold Coast Mdn-Sw July 25 over 1 ¹/16m on a soft track defeating Urban Princess with 128lbs at $2.40. The race before that 9th of 12 at Grafton Super Mdn-Sw on July 15 over 1 ¹/16m, 3.5 len behind Aurora Effect with 130lbs at $51. Sure to go well again.
5	Last start 5th of 8 at Gold Coast Bm65 on August 1 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Hideout carrying 123lbs at $4. The start before that raced on the pace when 3rd of 13 at Gold Coast Bm62 on July 18 over 1m, slow going nose behind Notes with 126lbs at $13. Up in trip and is worth some thought. 2nd Pick 5 Triple Time Jockey: Karl Zechner Trainer: Allan Chau J: Karl Zechner T: Allan Chau	150	-	-	-	36%
Analysis Last start 5th of 8 at Gold Coast Bm65 on August 1 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Hideout carrying 123lbs at $4. The start before that raced on the pace when 3rd of 13 at Gold Coast Bm62 on July 18 over 1m, slow going nose behind Notes with 126lbs at $13. Up in trip and is worth some thought.
7	Second-up. First-up after seven months 8th of 11 at Grafton 4yo+ Cl2 on July 15 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Jason Darren with 121lbs at $31. Previously second-up ran on from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Grafton Ctry Mdn on November 5 over 1 ¹/16m, long-neck behind Da Silva Gold carrying 121lbs at $5.50. Plenty of improvement to come. 3rd Pick 7 Mahuika Maroi Jockey: Ben Looker Trainer: Ethan Ensby J: Ben Looker T: Ethan Ensby	95	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after seven months 8th of 11 at Grafton 4yo+ Cl2 on July 15 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Jason Darren with 121lbs at $31. Previously second-up ran on from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Grafton Ctry Mdn on November 5 over 1 ¹/16m, long-neck behind Da Silva Gold carrying 121lbs at $5.50. Plenty of improvement to come.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.