AU - Ascot - Race 8

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

10.9f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

56.6K

VIEW

Verdict

TRUE PLAYER (2) was just too good for his rivals last start, rounding them up and staying on to the line, scoring by 1.2L. Up in weight here, but he shouldn't be as far off them from the better draw and he's expected to be better again out in trip. Can bring up the hat-trick. LILLIAN (1) couldn't fend off True Player last time out but does meet him better at the weights today. She has enough early speed to roll across from the tricky draw and it wouldn't surprise to see her turn the tables. AUDIO BOY (4) is racing in great order without winning, being right in the finish throughout this campaign. He'll need some luck from the draw, but he rates highly on recent form and won't be far away again. PHAROAH SHOW (5) looks a big improve third-up and out to this trip for the first time. This is tougher than what he's been racing in but it wouldn't surprise to see him return to winning ways. MANZOR MAGIC (10) can feature on his best form.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Chasing a hat-trick. At the latest run won by 1.2 len at Bunbury Rtg 66+ March 7 over 1 ¼m defeating Lillian with 126lbs at $6.50. Before that ran on from midfield and won by 0.5 len at Pinjarra Westspeed 0Mwly February 14 over 1m defeating Defending carrying 129lbs at $3.60. Rises in weight but he was far too good last start and this sets up favourably once again. 1st Pick 2 True Player Jockey: Lucy Fiore Trainer: Grant & Alana Williams J: Lucy Fiore T: Grant & Alana Williams	147	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Chasing a hat-trick. At the latest run won by 1.2 len at Bunbury Rtg 66+ March 7 over 1 ¼m defeating Lillian with 126lbs at $6.50. Before that ran on from midfield and won by 0.5 len at Pinjarra Westspeed 0Mwly February 14 over 1m defeating Defending carrying 129lbs at $3.60. Rises in weight but he was far too good last start and this sets up favourably once again.
1	Recent form sound. Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 13 at Bunbury Rtg 66+ on March 7 over 1 ¼m, 1.2 len behind True Player with 126lbs at $2.90. Before that favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.1 len at this track Rtg 66+ February 21 over 1m defeating Audio Boy carrying 125lbs at $2.05. Jumped favourite ahead of True Player last start and can turn the tables. 2nd Pick 1 Lillian Jockey: Chanel Cooper Trainer: Michael Grantham J: Chanel Cooper T: Michael Grantham	138	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 13 at Bunbury Rtg 66+ on March 7 over 1 ¼m, 1.2 len behind True Player with 126lbs at $2.90. Before that favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.1 len at this track Rtg 66+ February 21 over 1m defeating Audio Boy carrying 125lbs at $2.05. Jumped favourite ahead of True Player last start and can turn the tables.
4	Form hard to fault. Most recently 3rd of 13 at Bunbury Rtg 66+ on March 7 over 1 ¼m, 2 len behind True Player with 125lbs at $5.50. The run before that sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 10 at this track Rtg 66+ on February 21 over 1m, 1.1 len behind Lillian carrying 119lbs at $6.50. Well placed. Never far away and can put himself into the finish again. 3rd Pick 4 Audio Boy Jockey: Holly Nottle Trainer: Adam Durrant J: Holly Nottle T: Adam Durrant	141	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently 3rd of 13 at Bunbury Rtg 66+ on March 7 over 1 ¼m, 2 len behind True Player with 125lbs at $5.50. The run before that sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 10 at this track Rtg 66+ on February 21 over 1m, 1.1 len behind Lillian carrying 119lbs at $6.50. Well placed. Never far away and can put himself into the finish again.

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