AU - Ascot - Race 5

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

51.8K

VIEW

Verdict

ESSENTRIC NATURE (2) couldn't make it four in a row here last start when jumping the favourite back to 6f. Back out in trip today is a big tick for his chances and the wide draw doesn't hurt with his racing pattern. Expecting him to work into the race on the bend and storm down the outside. NOTEWORTHY (6) comes here fresh with three trials under her belt, the latest over 7 ¼f at Lark Hill. She was good there and CJP hops in the saddle for her first-up effort. She goes well fresh and the inside draw can see her close to the speed. Can make her presence felt. SIXINCH HEELS (11) flew home last start at this track and trip to just miss out on the win. That showed she was back in form however and she rates well on the back of that effort. Can be in the finish once again. ANGEL UNDERCOVER (1) was too good last start and can repeat the dose without surprising. CORRECT CHOICE (8) can sit closer this time and looks a big threat third-up.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
2	Last start 6th of 14 at this track Rtg 78+ on November 8 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Sky Duke with 123lbs at $2.30. The start before that favourite, ran on strongly from last on the turn and won by 0.8 len at this track Rtg 66+ October 18 over 7f defeating Correct Choice carrying 131lbs at $3.10. Flashed late last start and the rise in trip is a big tick for his chances. 1st Pick 2 Essentric Nature Jockey: William Pike Trainer: Grant & Alana Williams J: William Pike T: Grant & Alana Williams	203	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Last start 6th of 14 at this track Rtg 78+ on November 8 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Sky Duke with 123lbs at $2.30. The start before that favourite, ran on strongly from last on the turn and won by 0.8 len at this track Rtg 66+ October 18 over 7f defeating Correct Choice carrying 131lbs at $3.10. Flashed late last start and the rise in trip is a big tick for his chances.
6	Mare returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation second of 9 at Pinjarra Rtg 78+ June 21 over 1m, on heavy track, a nose behind Multinational with 119lbs at $5. When resuming last campaign seventh of 15 at Pinjarra Scarpside Rtg 78+ June 7 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Luvnwar carrying 116lbs at $26. Looks ready to go from her trials and can play a major role. 2nd Pick 6 Noteworthy Jockey: Clint Johnston-Porter Trainer: Michael Grantham J: Clint Johnston-Porter T: Michael Grantham	128	-	-	-	7%
Analysis Mare returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation second of 9 at Pinjarra Rtg 78+ June 21 over 1m, on heavy track, a nose behind Multinational with 119lbs at $5. When resuming last campaign seventh of 15 at Pinjarra Scarpside Rtg 78+ June 7 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Luvnwar carrying 116lbs at $26. Looks ready to go from her trials and can play a major role.
11	Racing well recently. At the latest run settled towards the rear 2nd of 16 at this track Rtg 66+ on November 8 over 7f, 0.9 len behind Angel Undercover carrying 122lbs at $6.50. Before that made some head-way from midfield, 4th of 15 at this track Rtg 66+ on November 1 over 6f, 2 len behind Smooth Chino carrying 123lbs at $5.50. Better run last start and she rates highly off that effort. 3rd Pick 11 Sixinch Heels Jockey: Lucy Fiore Trainer: Simon A Miller J: Lucy Fiore T: Simon A Miller	135	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run settled towards the rear 2nd of 16 at this track Rtg 66+ on November 8 over 7f, 0.9 len behind Angel Undercover carrying 122lbs at $6.50. Before that made some head-way from midfield, 4th of 15 at this track Rtg 66+ on November 1 over 6f, 2 len behind Smooth Chino carrying 123lbs at $5.50. Better run last start and she rates highly off that effort.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.