AU - Ascot - Race 3

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Unknown

Turf

GOOD 4

42.9K

VIEW

Verdict

WESTBOUND (5) settled last on resumption over this track and trip but rallied strongly to finish 1.4L off the winner. He's sure to be better for that run and I suspect he sits closer this time around with Berry in the saddle. Can improve second-up and continue his rise through the grades with the blinkers on for the first time. DESERT WAVES (2) made it three wins from his past 4 starts when winning by 0.8L last start when leading throughout. He rises in weight off that win, but he's an improving type who still has plenty of upside. Can find the front again and will take catching. STYLISH LORD (1) disappointed when leading them up over 1m last time out and drops back to a more preferred distance today. He's right back in grade as well and possesses plenty of speed. Can make amends. SUPERFLUOUS (6) is better than he showed last time out and can improve out in trip. KERVETTE (4) can feature on resumption.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Second-up. First-up after four months 3rd of 8 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on April 4 over 7f, 1.4 len behind Desert Waves carrying 123lbs at $2.10. Previously second-up 3rd of 8 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on November 8 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Hoba West with 121lbs at $3.10. Showed enough when a beaten favourite on debut and he can get back to winning ways now. 1st Pick 5 Westbound Jockey: Tommy Berry Trainer: Michael Grantham J: Tommy Berry T: Michael Grantham	199	-	-	-	48%	11/10
Analysis Second-up. First-up after four months 3rd of 8 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on April 4 over 7f, 1.4 len behind Desert Waves carrying 123lbs at $2.10. Previously second-up 3rd of 8 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on November 8 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Hoba West with 121lbs at $3.10. Showed enough when a beaten favourite on debut and he can get back to winning ways now.
2	At the latest run won by 0.8 len at this track Grad Hcp 60+ April 4 over 7f defeating Snippety Legend with 120lbs at $2.45. Before that 5th of 14 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on March 14 over 7f, 1.0 len behind King Hit carrying 127lbs at $4.40. Hard to knock his recent form and he'll be tough to run down from the front yet 2nd Pick 2 Desert Waves Jockey: Holly Nottle Trainer: Summer Dickson J: Holly Nottle T: Summer Dickson	183	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis At the latest run won by 0.8 len at this track Grad Hcp 60+ April 4 over 7f defeating Snippety Legend with 120lbs at $2.45. Before that 5th of 14 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on March 14 over 7f, 1.0 len behind King Hit carrying 127lbs at $4.40. Hard to knock his recent form and he'll be tough to run down from the front yet
1	At the latest run faded in the straight ran last of 9 at this track Rtg 65+ on April 4 over 1m, 5 len behind Holler Nuff with 126lbs at $6.50. The start before that rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 8 at this track Rtg 72+ on February 28 over 1m, 2.75 len behind Fancy Red with 122lbs at $8.50. Looked better suited to this distance and he can play a major role. 3rd Pick 1 Stylish Lord Jockey: Chanel Cooper Trainer: Russell Stewart J: Chanel Cooper T: Russell Stewart	147	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis At the latest run faded in the straight ran last of 9 at this track Rtg 65+ on April 4 over 1m, 5 len behind Holler Nuff with 126lbs at $6.50. The start before that rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 8 at this track Rtg 72+ on February 28 over 1m, 2.75 len behind Fancy Red with 122lbs at $8.50. Looked better suited to this distance and he can play a major role.

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