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5:14 AM

AU - Ascot - Race 3

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
5.5f
Unknown
Turf
SOFT 6
27.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

FANTAXTIC (2) jumped the equal favourite last start when narrowly edged out in a similar race, closing strongly to miss by a nose. Drawn awkwardly again today, though stepping back out in trip suits and Nottle remains on board with her 3lbs claim. Can return to winning ways. RIPPER FAROOQ (1) dropped back to 5f last start and just missed out in a similar race, finishing 0.4L off the winner off a short freshen. Now out to 5 ½f where he's been successful previously and he should get every chance from the gate. Can put his best foot forward. REGINETTA (10) trialled well going into her debut before getting back and storming home from beyond midfield to win by 1.1L. Drawn well again here and the rise in trip won't hurt. Ticks plenty of boxes and is very appealing with the upside she brings in. ESPRESSO TIME (4) is hard to knock on recent form and has to be included with the blinkers being reapplied. WICKED VENOM (5) can improve.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Fantaxtic silk

Went within a nose of Let's Talk at Belmont Park last start after being sent out favourite and racing wide throughout, so that defeat still carries plenty of merit. He had won his previous run there from So Si God and has four wins plus four placings from 14 starts around 5 ½f. Just missed last start and while he has drawn wide, he looks the one to beat on recent form.

1st Pick
2

Fantaxtic

Jockey: Holly Nottle

Trainer: Mitchell Pateman

J: Holly Nottle

T: Mitchell Pateman

158---20%4/1

Analysis

Went within a nose of Let's Talk at Belmont Park last start after being sent out favourite and racing wide throughout, so that defeat still carries plenty of merit. He had won his previous run there from So Si God and has four wins plus four placings from 14 starts around 5 ½f. Just missed last start and while he has drawn wide, he looks the one to beat on recent form.

1
Ripper Farooq silk

Closed to within half a length of Let's Talk at Belmont Park last start and had genuine traffic late, with the stewards noting difficulty getting clear near the ¾f. His previous fifth in a 3yo+ 1 Metro Win at Belmont Park was sound enough at generous odds, and he has a win and two placings from three starts at this distance. Drawn better now and he looks well suited stepping out to 5 ½f.

2nd Pick
1

Ripper Farooq

Jockey: Zephen Johnston-Porter

Trainer: Chris & Michael Gangemi

J: Zephen Johnston-Porter

T: Chris & Michael Gangemi

126---19%9/2

Analysis

Closed to within half a length of Let's Talk at Belmont Park last start and had genuine traffic late, with the stewards noting difficulty getting clear near the ¾f. His previous fifth in a 3yo+ 1 Metro Win at Belmont Park was sound enough at generous odds, and he has a win and two placings from three starts at this distance. Drawn better now and he looks well suited stepping out to 5 ½f.

10
Reginetta silk

Made a winning start at Northam, taking a 3yo+ Maiden by just over a length from Chandra after settling midfield and working over the top. She had trialled last month, including a 5f Belmont Park trial win, and the family includes Listed winner Nerodio. Impressed from the back on debut and makes plenty of appeal with her upside.

3rd Pick
10

Reginetta

Jockey: Shaun O'donnell

Trainer: Stephanie Bakranich

J: Shaun O'donnell

T: Stephanie Bakranich

97---17%5/1

Analysis

Made a winning start at Northam, taking a 3yo+ Maiden by just over a length from Chandra after settling midfield and working over the top. She had trialled last month, including a 5f Belmont Park trial win, and the family includes Listed winner Nerodio. Impressed from the back on debut and makes plenty of appeal with her upside.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.