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5:04 AM

AU - Ascot - Race 3

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
5f
Unknown
Turf
SOFT 5
42.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SNOW GOD (3) disappointed to end last campaign in stronger company, though he did jump a $1.65 there highlighting his ability. He's trialled strongly coming into this and Pike hopping on board is a big push for his chances. He's a nice gelding on the rise and he can return on a winning note. EXCESS BAGGAGE (9) flew home to score as a $1.60 favourite in a CL1 at Belmont last time out. This is tougher, but the winkers go back on as she drops down to 6f again. Brad Parnham takes the ride this time and she has to be included on her most recent performance. EARTH GOD (4) may need some luck from the draw, but he was sound in stronger company last start over this track and trip behind the in-form Haida Gwaii. That form reads well for a race like this and another forward showing is on the cards. PINGERS (7) can bounce back to form.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Snow God silk

Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation ninth of 12 at Belmont Park Rtg 66+ September 13 over 6 ½f, soft track, 5.5 len behind Essentric Nature carrying 122lbs at $1.65. First up last campaign second of 10 at Bunbury Grad Hcp 60+ July 19 over 5f, soft track, 0.7 len behind Terratif carrying 120lbs at $4.60. Looks ready to fire on resumption with the booking of Pike a good push.

1st Pick
3

Snow God

Jockey: William Pike

Trainer: David Harrison

J: William Pike

T: David Harrison

123---48%11/10

Analysis

Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation ninth of 12 at Belmont Park Rtg 66+ September 13 over 6 ½f, soft track, 5.5 len behind Essentric Nature carrying 122lbs at $1.65. First up last campaign second of 10 at Bunbury Grad Hcp 60+ July 19 over 5f, soft track, 0.7 len behind Terratif carrying 120lbs at $4.60. Looks ready to fire on resumption with the booking of Pike a good push.

9
Excess Baggage silk

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 7th of 9 at Bunbury in the LR Wa Breeders on February 1 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Playin'it Sweet carrying 117lbs at $9. Second run from a spell favourite, came home strongly from last on the turn and won by a neck at Belmont Park Cl1 February 11 over 6f defeating Miss Valmalenco with 126lbs at $1.60. Too good last time out and looks a nice filly on the rise.

2nd Pick
9

Excess Baggage

Jockey: Brad Parnham

Trainer: Luke Fernie

J: Brad Parnham

T: Luke Fernie

148---16%11/2

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 7th of 9 at Bunbury in the LR Wa Breeders on February 1 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Playin'it Sweet carrying 117lbs at $9. Second run from a spell favourite, came home strongly from last on the turn and won by a neck at Belmont Park Cl1 February 11 over 6f defeating Miss Valmalenco with 126lbs at $1.60. Too good last time out and looks a nice filly on the rise.

4
Earth God silk

Racing well recently. Last start 4th of 8 at this track Rtg 66+ on February 15 over 5f, 1.2 len behind Haida Gwaii carrying 121lbs at $4.20. The run before that came from midfield, 3rd of 10 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on January 31 over 5 ½f, 0.6 len behind Avoidance with 128lbs at $5.50. Not far away last time. Racing in good order and can feature once again.

3rd Pick
4

Earth God

Jockey: Shaun Mcgruddy

Trainer: Chris & Michael Gangemi

J: Shaun Mcgruddy

T: Chris & Michael Gangemi

113---13%7/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. Last start 4th of 8 at this track Rtg 66+ on February 15 over 5f, 1.2 len behind Haida Gwaii carrying 121lbs at $4.20. The run before that came from midfield, 3rd of 10 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on January 31 over 5 ½f, 0.6 len behind Avoidance with 128lbs at $5.50. Not far away last time. Racing in good order and can feature once again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.