AU - Ascot - Race 2

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

8.9f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

52.0K

VIEW

Verdict

ROYAL TORONADO (6) looks a big improver getting out to 1 ?m now after flying late over the mile most recently. His record at this track and trip is great and the inside draw can see him much closer in the run. Hasn't been to this trip for a while, but this looks a great opportunity to return to winning ways. FUNCHAL (5) just missed when favourite two back over this track and trip before a close defeat again as fav last start when back to the mile. She's a progressive mare who should appreciate getting back out in trip now. Pike sticks with her and there's plenty to like. FOREVER BOY (7) finished off strongly when fresh over the mile, coming through the same race as Toronado and Funchal. He's won second-up previously and it wouldn't surprise to see him take closer order from the good draw today. Big chance. LAVALIER (2) should appreciate getting out in trip now and the inside draw is a big tick. Keep safe. RED SUN SENSATION (1) is next best dropping back in grade.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
6	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 4th of 11 at this track Rtg 72+ on October 25 over 7f, slow going 0.6 len behind Asphalt with 127lbs at $13. Second-up 5th of 12 at this track Rtg 72+ on November 15 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Asphalt carrying 120lbs at $17. Capable of a better showing. Finally out in trip and improvement is on the cards. 1st Pick 6 Royal Toronado Jockey: Brad Parnham Trainer: Grant & Alana Williams J: Brad Parnham T: Grant & Alana Williams	154	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 4th of 11 at this track Rtg 72+ on October 25 over 7f, slow going 0.6 len behind Asphalt with 127lbs at $13. Second-up 5th of 12 at this track Rtg 72+ on November 15 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Asphalt carrying 120lbs at $17. Capable of a better showing. Finally out in trip and improvement is on the cards.
5	Recent form sound. At the latest run ran on from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track Rtg 72+ on November 15 over 1m, long-neck behind Asphalt with 123lbs at $3.30. The run before that 2nd of 10 at this track Rtg 66+ on November 1 over 1m, neck behind Odinaka carrying 129lbs at $2.20. Back out to this trip looks ideal and she can land the knockout blow. 2nd Pick 5 Funchal Jockey: William Pike Trainer: Grant & Alana Williams J: William Pike T: Grant & Alana Williams	198	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run ran on from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track Rtg 72+ on November 15 over 1m, long-neck behind Asphalt with 123lbs at $3.30. The run before that 2nd of 10 at this track Rtg 66+ on November 1 over 1m, neck behind Odinaka carrying 129lbs at $2.20. Back out to this trip looks ideal and she can land the knockout blow.
7	Second-up. First-up after four months made ground from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track Rtg 72+ on November 15 over 1m, 0.5 len behind Asphalt carrying 122lbs at $3.90. Previously second-up 3rd of 9 at Belmont Park Grad Hcp 58+ on May 24 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Dennis Choux carrying 130lbs at $2.90. Good run fresh and improvement is expected. 3rd Pick 7 Forever Boy Jockey: Clint Johnston-Porter Trainer: Michael Grantham J: Clint Johnston-Porter T: Michael Grantham	177	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after four months made ground from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track Rtg 72+ on November 15 over 1m, 0.5 len behind Asphalt carrying 122lbs at $3.90. Previously second-up 3rd of 9 at Belmont Park Grad Hcp 58+ on May 24 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Dennis Choux carrying 130lbs at $2.90. Good run fresh and improvement is expected.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.