AU - Ascot - Race 1

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

8.9f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

57.4K

VIEW

Verdict

ROYAL TORONADO (6) creates plenty of interest here off a strong first-up performance when flashing late over 6f. Straight out to 1 ?m here doesn't look an issue with his profile and he's won 2/5 second-up. Gets Pike now and he looks poised to strike. ASIF (4) won well two back before sticking on gamely on the 7-day turnaround, beaten 0.5L at the mile. Out to 1 ?m again now where he's unbeaten and he looks to get all the favours. Can go one better this time. SOLDANELLE (7) was strong late in the Detonator when 0.9L off the winner in a close finish. The smaller field here should suit and Chris Parnham now hops on board. Watch for her late in the race. FAMOUS DAIN (2) was just fair in the Detonator but he was racing in good order prior to that. Can bounce back to his best now. ROYAL LAW (3) is second-up here and creates some interest on the back of a solid return effort.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Second run back. First-up after three months 3rd of 10 at this track Rtg 72+ on February 21 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Immortal Bliss with 125lbs at $21. Previously second-up 5th of 12 at this track Rtg 72+ on November 15 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Asphalt carrying 120lbs at $17. Looks well suited stepping out to this trip second-up and he can return to winning ways. 1st Pick 6 Royal Toronado Jockey: William Pike Trainer: Grant & Alana Williams J: William Pike T: Grant & Alana Williams	212	-	-	-	43%	11/8
Analysis Second run back. First-up after three months 3rd of 10 at this track Rtg 72+ on February 21 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Immortal Bliss with 125lbs at $21. Previously second-up 5th of 12 at this track Rtg 72+ on November 15 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Asphalt carrying 120lbs at $17. Looks well suited stepping out to this trip second-up and he can return to winning ways.
4	Recent form sound. Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at this track Rtg 72+ on February 28 over 1m, 0.5 len behind Fancy Red carrying 125lbs at $2.40. The run before that won by a long-neck at this track Rtg 66+ February 21 over 1m defeating Fancy Red with 127lbs at $6.50. Unbeaten at the trip and he rates highly on his recent form. 2nd Pick 4 Asif Jockey: Lucy Fiore Trainer: Grant & Alana Williams J: Lucy Fiore T: Grant & Alana Williams	147	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at this track Rtg 72+ on February 28 over 1m, 0.5 len behind Fancy Red carrying 125lbs at $2.40. The run before that won by a long-neck at this track Rtg 66+ February 21 over 1m defeating Fancy Red with 127lbs at $6.50. Unbeaten at the trip and he rates highly on his recent form.
7	Racing well recently. Most recently 4th of 15 at this track in the LR Detonator on February 21 over 1m, 0.9 len behind Fear The Wind carrying 117lbs at $8. The run before that won by 1.4 len at this track Rtg 72+ February 7 over 1m defeating Stylish Lord carrying 120lbs at $4.40. Not far away last time. Strong late in the Detonator and this shapes nicely. 3rd Pick 7 Soldanelle Jockey: Chris Parnham Trainer: Stefan Vahala J: Chris Parnham T: Stefan Vahala	164	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently 4th of 15 at this track in the LR Detonator on February 21 over 1m, 0.9 len behind Fear The Wind carrying 117lbs at $8. The run before that won by 1.4 len at this track Rtg 72+ February 7 over 1m defeating Stylish Lord carrying 120lbs at $4.40. Not far away last time. Strong late in the Detonator and this shapes nicely.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.