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3:59 AM

AU - Ascot - Race 1

Thoroughbred
7 Runners
8f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
52.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CORRECT CHOICE (5) looks the one to beat in the opener as he finally steps out to the mile. His three runs back have been solid over 7f, but he looks ready for this trip now with CJP returning to the saddle. Has some versatility about him and with improvement expected, he can get back to winning ways. ROYAL TORONADO (4) went close last start over 1 ?m and lands here on the quick turnaround. The blinkers go on now and Pike hops back in the saddle in a big push for his chances. Should be one of the strongest late in the race. TRIO (3) finished in the money last start at big odds over 7f thanks to a great ride. Nash Rawiller hops on board now and he's likely to land just off the speed from the gate. This looks to set up nicely for him. OUR ROCKY BAY (7) is better suited out to this track and trip and can improve. BLAZING EMERALD (6) is next best.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Correct Choice silk

Last start 4th of 12 at this track Rtg 72+ on November 22 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Noteworthy carrying 120lbs at $6.50. The race before that 5th of 16 at this track Rtg 66+ on November 8 over 7f, 2.75 len behind Angel Undercover with 120lbs at $13. Finds the right race now and looks the one to beat.

1st Pick
5

Correct Choice

Jockey: Clint Johnston-Porter

Trainer: Michael Grantham

J: Clint Johnston-Porter

T: Michael Grantham

197---23%7/2

Analysis

Last start 4th of 12 at this track Rtg 72+ on November 22 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Noteworthy carrying 120lbs at $6.50. The race before that 5th of 16 at this track Rtg 66+ on November 8 over 7f, 2.75 len behind Angel Undercover with 120lbs at $13. Finds the right race now and looks the one to beat.

4
Royal Toronado silk

Most recently 3rd of 11 at this track Rtg 72+ on November 29 over 1m, 1.0 len behind Forever Boy carrying 125lbs at $4.80. The start before that 5th of 12 at this track Rtg 72+ on November 15 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Asphalt carrying 120lbs at $17. Building nicely and looks well placed.

2nd Pick
4

Royal Toronado

Jockey: William Pike

Trainer: Grant & Alana Williams

J: William Pike

T: Grant & Alana Williams

246---43%11/8

Analysis

Most recently 3rd of 11 at this track Rtg 72+ on November 29 over 1m, 1.0 len behind Forever Boy carrying 125lbs at $4.80. The start before that 5th of 12 at this track Rtg 72+ on November 15 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Asphalt carrying 120lbs at $17. Building nicely and looks well placed.

3
Trio silk

Last start made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track Rtg 72+ on November 22 over 7f, 1.2 len behind Noteworthy with 127lbs at $26. The run before that eased back early on 8th of 12 at this track Rtg 72+ on November 15 over 1m, 3 len behind Asphalt with 128lbs at $61. Not far away last time. Can improve getting up to the mile.

3rd Pick
3

Trio

Jockey: Nash Rawiller

Trainer: Grant & Alana Williams

J: Nash Rawiller

T: Grant & Alana Williams

202---23%7/2

Analysis

Last start made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track Rtg 72+ on November 22 over 7f, 1.2 len behind Noteworthy with 127lbs at $26. The run before that eased back early on 8th of 12 at this track Rtg 72+ on November 15 over 1m, 3 len behind Asphalt with 128lbs at $61. Not far away last time. Can improve getting up to the mile.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.