AU - Armidale - Race 5

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

6.5f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

19.2K

VIEW

Verdict

TIME TO COMMIT (5) looks well placed after racing on the speed and fighting on strongly for third over 7f at Scone last start. This looks slightly easier and she can take this out. CHEATING LILIBET (6) has fought on for fifth at her past couple of starts and may be looking for more ground than 5f. She gets her chance to bounce back into the top 3 with the extra 1 ½f on offer here. Stick with her. TICKLE MY TOSEN (11) has been safely held in 2 runs since a break, finishing sixth at Kempsey last time out, but he should be nearing peak fitness now. He drops 10lbs, and is ready to put his best hoof forward in this. SURPASSER (2) won as the favourite at a recent Mendooran picnic meeting, and despite rising in weight, he can repeat the dose, especially with Braith Nock in the saddle. SET TO PROPHET (1) has been consistent without winning, settling well back before finishing fourth at Coffs Harbour over 6 ?f last week. Each way all day.

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	1 Set To Prophet Jockey: Jacob Stiff Trainer: Lea Selby J: Jacob Stiff T: Lea Selby	134	-	-	-	29%
2	2 Surpasser Jockey: Braith Nock Trainer: Jane Clement J: Braith Nock T: Jane Clement	117	-	-	-	6%
3	3 Deebee's Girl Jockey: Daniel Smith Trainer: Cassandra Schmidt J: Daniel Smith T: Cassandra Schmidt	96	-	-	-	8%
4	4 Smart Buy Jockey: Anna Weatherlake Trainer: Lea Selby J: Anna Weatherlake T: Lea Selby	106	-	-	-	3%
5	1st Pick 5 Time To Commit Jockey: Donovan Dillon Trainer: Tim Mcintosh J: Donovan Dillon T: Tim Mcintosh	122	-	-	-	46%
6	2nd Pick 6 Cheating Lilibet Jockey: Madeline Owen Trainer: Karen Owen J: Madeline Owen T: Karen Owen	82	-	-	-	9%
7	7 Extreme Merger Jockey: Zac Wadick Trainer: Jane Clement J: Zac Wadick T: Jane Clement	132	-	-	-	10%
8	8 Thedaythemusicdied Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Karen Owen J: Non Runner T: Karen Owen	118	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
9	9 Smart Lily Jockey: Mikayla Weir Trainer: Wayne Wilkes J: Mikayla Weir T: Wayne Wilkes	97	-	-	-	10%
10	10 Sharpen The Knives Jockey: Jenny Duggan Trainer: Tracy Bell J: Jenny Duggan T: Tracy Bell	79	-	-	-	6%
11	3rd Pick 11 Tickle My Tosen Jockey: Ben Looker Trainer: Colt Prosser J: Ben Looker T: Colt Prosser	72	-	-	-	6%
12	12 Dolly Disco Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Jason Judge J: Non Runner T: Jason Judge	69	-	-	-	1%	Scratched

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.