AU - Alice Springs - Race 5

Thoroughbred

5 Runners

Benchmark

Sand

GOOD

21.5K

VIEW

Verdict

GRINZINGER LASS (4) lines up on the back of a 1.75-length fourth over 1m at this track three weeks ago. Is very effective at this distance with two wins and three minors from six runs. Looks to have an edge on most of these. FLYING START (3) scored by half a length two back at this track then filled a placing last time at this track. Gets a little weight relief. Paul Denton who has two wins when partnering stays on. Best form puts him right in this. DELAGO LAD (2) raced below his best last time when seventh over 6f at this track, beaten 16 lengths. That was in open class and much better placed here. Can make amends. BAHAMA BAY (1) was unplaced two runs back then again missed the frame last start over 6f at this track, beaten 4.5 lengths into fourth. No surprise to see him in contention. IZ SHAFT (5) cannot be underestimated.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Form hard to fault. Last start ran second last in a small field in a Bm76 at this track on August 8 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Grinzinger Bishop with 123lbs at $7.50. Before that 3rd in a small field in a 0 - 70 at this track on July 26 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Flying Start carrying 126lbs at $6.50. Great record course and distance and capable of sharp improvement. 1st Pick 4 Grinzinger Lass Jockey: Jessie Philpot Trainer: Ray Viney J: Jessie Philpot T: Ray Viney	169	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start ran second last in a small field in a Bm76 at this track on August 8 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Grinzinger Bishop with 123lbs at $7.50. Before that 3rd in a small field in a 0 - 70 at this track on July 26 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Flying Start carrying 126lbs at $6.50. Great record course and distance and capable of sharp improvement.
3	Recent form sound. Most recently 3rd in a small field in a Bm76 at this track on August 8 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Grinzinger Bishop with 130lbs at $5.50. The run before that won by 0.5 len at this track on July 26 over 7f defeating Highlands with 128lbs at $4.20. Continues to race well and looks a top chance off the inside. 2nd Pick 3 Flying Start Jockey: Paul Denton Trainer: Greg Connor J: Paul Denton T: Greg Connor	179	-	-	-	37%	7/4
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently 3rd in a small field in a Bm76 at this track on August 8 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Grinzinger Bishop with 130lbs at $5.50. The run before that won by 0.5 len at this track on July 26 over 7f defeating Highlands with 128lbs at $4.20. Continues to race well and looks a top chance off the inside.
2	Most recently ran last of 7 in a Hcp at this track on August 8 over 6f, 16 len behind Lucky Fortuna carrying 123lbs at $6.50. The race before that ran last in a small field in a Bmnt 73 at this track on July 26 over 5 ½f, 6 len behind Luskin Hero with 127lbs at $4.40. Back in class and capable of sharp improvement. 3rd Pick 2 Delago Lad Jockey: Billy Cray Trainer: Greg Connor J: Billy Cray T: Greg Connor	193	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Most recently ran last of 7 in a Hcp at this track on August 8 over 6f, 16 len behind Lucky Fortuna carrying 123lbs at $6.50. The race before that ran last in a small field in a Bmnt 73 at this track on July 26 over 5 ½f, 6 len behind Luskin Hero with 127lbs at $4.40. Back in class and capable of sharp improvement.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

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A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

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A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.