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6:15 AM

AU - Albury - Race 5

Thoroughbred
15 Runners
4.5f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
18.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

HAZARDOUS (10) made the right start at Wodonga, winning a Mdn over 5 ½f by two lengths as favourite after settling midfield and finishing strongly. She is new to 4 ½f, but the debut win, barrier two and 4lbs claim give her a clear platform to remain unbeaten. OPETAIA (6) resumes from a five-month break and her Queensland form reads well for this grade, even though she was unwanted and well held at Doomben before the spell. She looks a genuine fresh danger. TESORO MIO (2) also resumes and brings solid BM62 lines from last campaign, including a Cranbourne second on heavy ground before things went wrong at Swan Hill. Blinkers come off and her only start at the distance was a win. FOURTHTIMELUCKY (1) can feature in the finish on resumption.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
10
Hazardous silk

Created a strong impression on debut at Wodonga, winning a Mdn over 5 ½f by two lengths as favourite after settling midfield and finishing strongly. She had also trialled last month, so there was some foundation behind that result. The new 4 ½f test is a query, but she is the one to beat.

1st Pick
10

Hazardous

Jockey: Cassidy Hill

Trainer: Craig Weeding

J: Cassidy Hill

T: Craig Weeding

132---40%6/4

Analysis

Created a strong impression on debut at Wodonga, winning a Mdn over 5 ½f by two lengths as favourite after settling midfield and finishing strongly. She had also trialled last month, so there was some foundation behind that result. The new 4 ½f test is a query, but she is the one to beat.

6
Opetaia silk

Returns from a five-month break after a mixed Queensland campaign, finishing second last at Doomben when unwanted in the market and unable to finish off on soft ground. The Sunshine Coast fifth prior was sounder, beaten just over three lengths at long odds after some early interference. Fresh run can bring her right into the contest.

2nd Pick
6

Opetaia

Jockey: Claire Ramsbotham

Trainer: Brett Mallyon

J: Claire Ramsbotham

T: Brett Mallyon

86---9%11/1

Analysis

Returns from a five-month break after a mixed Queensland campaign, finishing second last at Doomben when unwanted in the market and unable to finish off on soft ground. The Sunshine Coast fifth prior was sounder, beaten just over three lengths at long odds after some early interference. Fresh run can bring her right into the contest.

2
Tesoro Mio silk

Returns from a four-month break with BM62 form that reads well for this assignment. She was last at Swan Hill after jumping awkwardly, racing keenly and being steadied late, so that run had enough against it. The Cranbourne second prior on heavy ground was much better, beaten just under two lengths by Mr Tickles. If she begins cleanly, she is a major chance.

3rd Pick
2

Tesoro Mio

Jockey: Ella Bent

Trainer: Tim Fitzsimmons

J: Ella Bent

T: Tim Fitzsimmons

96---13%7/1

Analysis

Returns from a four-month break with BM62 form that reads well for this assignment. She was last at Swan Hill after jumping awkwardly, racing keenly and being steadied late, so that run had enough against it. The Cranbourne second prior on heavy ground was much better, beaten just under two lengths by Mr Tickles. If she begins cleanly, she is a major chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.